Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 24.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-23.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,735
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,058.04
Current Value
$14,506.93
Period P&L
$-4,551.13
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-3.00%
Worst Trade
-8.89%
Avg Trade Return
-4.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,839.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,551.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,551.13
Gross Return
-23.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,058.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $34.63 550 $19,046.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 550 $17,352.56 $17,364.11 $-1,693.95
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $31.47 551 $17,337.27
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $30.52 551 $16,816.52 $16,843.36 $-520.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $30.43 553 $16,827.79
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 553 $16,003.82 $16,019.39 $-823.97
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $29.33 546 $16,016.91
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET $28.43 546 $15,522.78 $15,525.26 $-494.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $29.42 527 $15,504.02
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.40 527 $14,966.85 $14,988.09 $-537.17
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $28.61 523 $14,963.03
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $27.69 523 $14,481.87 $14,506.93 $-481.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,506.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,506.93
Total Return: +45.07%
Back to Marcus Reversal