Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:11:59

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.6

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.3 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,611.04
Current Value
$13,695.39
Period P&L
$84.33
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.63%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,016.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$84.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$84.33
Gross Return
+0.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,611.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.69 529 $13,590.70
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $24.92 529 $13,180.04 $13,200.40 $-410.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $24.24 544 $13,188.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $25.47 544 $13,855.68 $13,867.78 +$667.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $24.28 571 $13,866.73
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.65 571 $14,647.46 $14,648.51 +$780.73
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $25.78 568 $14,643.04
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $24.98 568 $14,185.80 $14,191.27 $-457.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $23.01 616 $14,177.24
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.21 616 $13,681.36 $13,695.39 $-495.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,695.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,695.39
Total Return: +36.95%
Back to Marcus Reversal