BLK Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 27 trades in period
+18.35%
Last Year Return
$13,771.47
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$11,636.46
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.7/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality
32.9/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 28.0
30-Day Momentum
30
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.3
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,990
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,636.46
Current Value
$13,771.47
Period P&L
$2,135.01
Max Drawdown
-17.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
14 /
13
Best Trade
+5.89%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
11.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$698,238.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,135.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,135.01
Gross Return
+18.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 27 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,636.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 2:05pm ET | $911.13 | 12 | $10,933.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $962.00 | 12 | $11,544.00 | $12,263.69 |
+$610.44 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $964.64 | 12 | $11,575.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $980.88 | 12 | $11,770.56 | $12,458.63 |
+$194.94 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 2:40pm ET | $982.67 | 12 | $11,791.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $1,033.00 | 12 | $12,396.00 | $13,062.65 |
+$604.02 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 2:30pm ET | $1,040.41 | 12 | $12,484.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $1,093.78 | 12 | $13,125.36 | $13,703.09 |
+$640.44 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $1,098.36 | 12 | $13,180.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,058.91 | 12 | $12,706.92 | $13,229.75 |
$-473.34 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 11:20am ET | $1,062.30 | 12 | $12,747.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $1,115.82 | 12 | $13,389.84 | $13,871.99 |
+$642.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:40pm ET | $1,105.85 | 12 | $13,270.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,170.00 | 12 | $14,040.00 | $14,641.79 |
+$769.80 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $1,148.31 | 12 | $13,779.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,104.94 | 12 | $13,259.22 | $14,121.29 |
$-520.50 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:55am ET | $1,100.00 | 12 | $13,200.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $1,155.52 | 12 | $13,866.24 | $14,787.53 |
+$666.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 11:45am ET | $1,174.18 | 12 | $14,090.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $1,134.06 | 12 | $13,608.72 | $14,306.15 |
$-481.38 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $1,161.00 | 12 | $13,932.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $1,125.22 | 12 | $13,502.61 | $13,876.75 |
$-429.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 2:55pm ET | $1,127.97 | 12 | $13,535.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,090.66 | 12 | $13,087.92 | $13,429.03 |
$-447.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $1,071.34 | 12 | $12,856.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $1,036.53 | 12 | $12,438.36 | $13,011.31 |
$-417.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $1,014.77 | 12 | $12,177.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 12:20pm ET | $1,065.87 | 12 | $12,790.38 | $13,624.45 |
+$613.14 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:45pm ET | $1,077.13 | 12 | $12,925.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,099.07 | 12 | $13,188.84 | $13,887.79 |
+$263.34 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,119.00 | 12 | $13,427.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,083.79 | 12 | $13,005.42 | $13,465.27 |
$-422.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,081.14 | 12 | $12,973.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,144.81 | 12 | $13,737.72 | $14,229.31 |
+$764.04 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,170.42 | 12 | $14,045.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,131.96 | 12 | $13,583.52 | $13,767.79 |
$-461.52 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $1,122.23 | 12 | $13,466.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,087.23 | 12 | $13,046.76 | $13,347.79 |
$-420.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1,065.48 | 12 | $12,785.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,081.99 | 12 | $12,983.94 | $13,545.97 |
+$198.18 (+1.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,061.29 | 12 | $12,735.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,029.24 | 12 | $12,350.88 | $13,161.43 |
$-384.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $955.76 | 13 | $12,424.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $921.02 | 13 | $11,973.26 | $12,709.79 |
$-451.64 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $969.11 | 13 | $12,598.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $932.75 | 13 | $12,125.75 | $12,237.11 |
$-472.68 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $929.82 | 13 | $12,087.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $977.78 | 13 | $12,711.14 | $12,860.59 |
+$623.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $959.80 | 13 | $12,477.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,010.40 | 13 | $13,135.20 | $13,518.42 |
+$657.83 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $992.30 | 13 | $12,899.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,045.00 | 13 | $13,585.00 | $14,203.46 |
+$685.04 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,050.53 | 13 | $13,656.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,017.30 | 13 | $13,224.90 | $13,771.47 |
$-431.99 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,771.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,771.47
Total Return:
+37.71%