Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:30:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 22.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,172
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,003.78
Current Value
$13,630.78
Period P&L
$2,627.00
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+5.70%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
15.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$527,341.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,627.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,627.00
Gross Return
+23.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,003.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:55am ET $192.16 55 $10,568.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:45am ET $202.02 55 $11,111.14 $11,255.17 +$542.34
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 12:05pm ET $200.14 56 $11,207.84
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $211.54 56 $11,846.24 $11,893.57 +$638.40
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
27.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 3:30pm ET $213.71 55 $11,754.05
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET $207.26 55 $11,399.30 $11,538.82 $-354.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:30pm ET $213.96 53 $11,339.62
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:55am ET $224.71 53 $11,909.63 $12,108.84 +$570.02
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $221.69 54 $11,971.26
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $214.28 54 $11,571.12 $11,708.70 $-400.14
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $218.26 53 $11,567.78
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:15am ET $229.18 53 $12,146.54 $12,287.46 +$578.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 10:15am ET $228.05 53 $12,086.46
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:40am ET $239.56 53 $12,696.42 $12,897.41 +$609.95
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET $236.70 54 $12,781.80
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:00am ET $245.31 54 $13,246.74 $13,362.35 +$464.94
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 10:25am ET $245.36 54 $13,249.17
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $237.89 54 $12,846.06 $12,959.24 $-403.11
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $241.39 53 $12,793.67
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $242.27 53 $12,840.31 $13,005.88 +$46.64
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $237.23 54 $12,810.42
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:30pm ET $230.11 54 $12,425.67 $12,621.13 $-384.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:55pm ET $239.24 52 $12,440.48
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:05am ET $251.42 52 $13,073.84 $13,254.49 +$633.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:15am ET $251.18 52 $13,061.36
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $250.14 52 $13,007.28 $13,200.41 $-54.08
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $252.01 52 $13,104.52
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET $264.67 52 $13,762.84 $13,858.73 +$658.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $266.54 51 $13,593.54
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $258.48 51 $13,182.23 $13,447.41 $-411.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $262.75 51 $13,400.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.94 51 $13,613.94 $13,661.10 +$213.69
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
7.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $261.69 52 $13,607.88
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $253.68 52 $13,191.36 $13,244.58 $-416.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $261.13 50 $13,056.50
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 50 $12,560.50 $12,748.58 $-496.00
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 51 $12,609.24
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $239.64 51 $12,221.63 $12,360.97 $-387.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $251.14 49 $12,305.86
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $263.83 49 $12,927.67 $12,982.78 +$621.81
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $268.78 48 $12,901.44
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:15am ET $282.28 48 $13,549.44 $13,630.78 +$648.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,630.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,630.78
Total Return: +36.31%
Back to Marcus Reversal