Compendium › Marcus Reversal › VZ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VZ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 23 trades in period

+9.25%
Last Year Return
$11,923.84
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$10,913.78
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 19.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
31,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,913.78
Current Value
$11,923.84
Period P&L
$1,010.05
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+6.72%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
13.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$513,918.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,010.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,010.05
Gross Return
+9.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,913.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 12:45pm ET $42.13 250 $10,531.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $44.24 250 $11,060.00 $11,096.27 +$528.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $43.82 253 $11,086.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $42.49 253 $10,750.60 $10,760.41 $-335.86
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 12:35pm ET $43.18 249 $10,750.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $42.95 249 $10,693.31 $10,703.14 $-57.27
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 9:30am ET $41.90 255 $10,683.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET $41.21 255 $10,508.55 $10,528.47 $-174.68
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 10:40am ET $40.84 257 $10,496.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 12:40pm ET $42.94 257 $11,034.76 $11,066.60 +$538.13
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 1:10pm ET $42.67 259 $11,051.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 9:40am ET $44.86 259 $11,617.45 $11,632.51 +$565.91
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
27.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 11:00am ET $45.30 256 $11,596.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 10:40am ET $43.92 256 $11,242.88 $11,278.59 $-353.92
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:35am ET $43.89 257 $11,278.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $43.50 257 $11,178.22 $11,178.36 $-100.23
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 12:05pm ET $43.73 255 $11,151.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET $42.35 255 $10,797.98 $10,825.19 $-353.18
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 12:40pm ET $41.50 260 $10,789.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET $40.20 260 $10,452.00 $10,487.27 $-337.92
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:30pm ET $39.75 263 $10,452.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:20pm ET $38.55 263 $10,137.34 $10,171.67 $-315.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:20pm ET $38.66 263 $10,166.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $40.87 263 $10,748.81 $10,754.21 +$582.54
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $39.80 270 $10,747.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $40.91 270 $11,044.35 $11,051.37 +$297.16
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $40.56 272 $11,032.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $40.43 272 $10,995.60 $11,014.65 $-36.72
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $40.35 273 $11,014.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET $39.11 273 $10,678.26 $10,678.73 $-335.93
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $39.65 269 $10,664.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $42.31 269 $11,381.39 $11,395.61 +$716.89
(+6.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $44.06 258 $11,368.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $46.28 258 $11,940.24 $11,967.08 +$571.47
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.15 253 $11,928.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $46.91 253 $11,867.60 $11,905.73 $-61.35
(-0.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $48.90 243 $11,881.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $51.35 243 $12,478.05 $12,502.29 +$596.56
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $50.83 245 $12,453.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET $49.23 245 $12,061.35 $12,110.29 $-392.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $50.26 240 $12,062.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 240 $11,698.80 $11,746.69 $-363.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $47.37 248 $11,746.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $45.78 248 $11,353.44 $11,353.61 $-393.08
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $44.67 254 $11,346.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $46.92 254 $11,916.41 $11,923.84 +$570.23
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,923.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,923.84
Total Return: +19.24%
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