Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:29:18

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 45.6/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 38.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,121
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,508.91
Current Value
$17,554.13
Period P&L
$2,045.23
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-4.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
12.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$881,510.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,045.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,045.23
Gross Return
+13.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,508.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 1:00pm ET $94.55 162 $15,316.29
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $99.34 162 $16,093.08 $16,113.17 +$776.79
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
24.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $97.09 165 $16,019.85
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:55am ET $102.15 165 $16,854.75 $16,948.07 +$834.90
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
28.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:55am ET $102.41 165 $16,897.65
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $98.45 165 $16,244.25 $16,294.67 $-653.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET $98.01 166 $16,269.66
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:35am ET $103.03 166 $17,102.98 $17,127.99 +$833.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $103.39 165 $17,058.53
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:55am ET $100.25 165 $16,540.43 $16,609.89 $-518.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 2:55pm ET $102.16 162 $16,549.11
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 2:10pm ET $107.34 162 $17,389.10 $17,449.88 +$839.99
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $108.16 161 $17,413.74
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 11:10am ET $104.90 161 $16,888.90 $16,925.04 $-524.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:35am ET $103.47 163 $16,865.61
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $100.20 163 $16,332.60 $16,392.03 $-533.01
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $101.13 162 $16,383.06
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:45am ET $106.38 162 $17,233.09 $17,242.06 +$850.03
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET $106.27 162 $17,214.93
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $111.64 162 $18,085.68 $18,112.81 +$870.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $114.14 158 $18,034.12
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $112.85 158 $17,830.30 $17,908.99 $-203.82
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $112.24 159 $17,846.16
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $118.01 159 $18,763.59 $18,826.42 +$917.43
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $119.52 157 $18,765.03
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET $115.90 157 $18,196.30 $18,257.68 $-568.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $116.60 156 $18,189.60
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:40am ET $122.69 156 $19,139.64 $19,207.72 +$950.04
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $128.35 149 $19,124.16
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $129.05 149 $19,228.45 $19,312.01 +$104.29
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $132.66 145 $19,235.70
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $128.66 145 $18,656.42 $18,732.73 $-579.28
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $126.36 148 $18,701.28
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $122.10 148 $18,070.06 $18,101.51 $-631.22
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:50am ET $125.14 144 $18,020.15
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET $120.99 144 $17,421.84 $17,503.20 $-598.31
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $120.00 145 $17,400.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $126.20 145 $18,299.00 $18,402.20 +$899.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $125.07 147 $18,386.02
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $131.47 147 $19,326.09 $19,342.27 +$940.07
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $130.53 148 $19,318.44
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $126.26 148 $18,686.48 $18,710.31 $-631.96
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:40am ET $132.26 141 $18,648.66
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:15am ET $128.18 141 $18,073.38 $18,135.03 $-575.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
23 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $130.13 139 $18,088.07
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $123.83 139 $17,212.37 $17,259.33 $-875.70
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $120.67 143 $17,255.81
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $116.82 143 $16,705.26 $16,708.78 $-550.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET $114.79 145 $16,644.55
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $120.62 145 $17,489.90 $17,554.13 +$845.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,554.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,554.13
Total Return: +75.54%
Back to Marcus Reversal