Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AMD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 23 trades in period

+74.64%
Last 3 Months Return
$19,803.35
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$11,339.35
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:10:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 27.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

68
+29.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 83.8 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,791
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,339.35
Current Value
$19,803.35
Period P&L
$8,463.99
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
14 / 9
Best Trade
+20.82%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+2.51%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$603,861.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,463.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,463.99
Gross Return
+74.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+74.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,339.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $193.49 60 $11,609.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $204.66 60 $12,279.60 $12,368.96 +$670.20
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $215.91 57 $12,306.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $216.25 57 $12,326.11 $12,388.20 +$19.24
(+0.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $202.15 61 $12,330.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $195.66 61 $11,935.56 $11,992.92 $-395.28
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $201.28 59 $11,875.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $195.22 59 $11,517.98 $11,635.38 $-357.54
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $213.47 54 $11,527.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $205.08 54 $11,074.32 $11,182.18 $-453.20
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $199.98 55 $10,998.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $193.81 55 $10,659.55 $10,842.83 $-339.35
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $191.43 56 $10,719.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $201.13 56 $11,263.11 $11,386.14 +$543.31
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $195.43 58 $11,334.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $189.15 58 $10,970.41 $11,021.61 $-364.53
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $203.97 54 $11,014.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:00am ET $197.53 54 $10,666.62 $10,673.85 $-347.76
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $195.62 54 $10,563.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $205.61 54 $11,102.94 $11,213.32 +$539.47
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $203.54 55 $11,194.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $215.90 55 $11,874.50 $11,893.12 +$679.80
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $217.51 54 $11,745.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET $209.96 54 $11,337.84 $11,485.42 $-407.70
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $198.01 58 $11,484.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $207.98 58 $12,063.02 $12,063.86 +$578.44
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $204.05 59 $12,038.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET $214.54 59 $12,657.57 $12,682.48 +$618.62
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $219.36 57 $12,503.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 57 $13,245.09 $13,424.05 +$741.57
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $234.36 57 $13,358.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $248.50 57 $14,164.50 $14,229.84 +$805.79
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $243.47 58 $14,121.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET $256.10 58 $14,853.80 $14,962.15 +$732.31
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $275.28 54 $14,865.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 54 $15,728.58 $15,825.61 +$863.46
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $304.32 52 $15,824.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 52 $17,515.42 $17,516.39 +$1,690.78
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $338.27 51 $17,251.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.88 51 $15,905.63 $16,170.25 $-1,346.14
(-7.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $321.40 50 $16,070.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $337.47 50 $16,873.50 $16,973.75 +$803.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $351.85 48 $16,888.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $340.30 48 $16,334.64 $16,419.59 $-554.16
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $353.24 46 $16,249.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 46 $19,632.80 $19,803.35 +$3,383.76
(+20.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,803.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,803.35
Total Return: +98.03%
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