Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 10:17:22

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 37.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,924
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,888.31
Current Value
$19,888.93
Period P&L
$4,000.62
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
13 / 16
Best Trade
+11.55%
Worst Trade
-7.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,062,125.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,000.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,000.62
Gross Return
+25.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,888.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $135.65 115 $15,599.75
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 115 $17,060.82 $17,191.83 +$1,461.08
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:30am ET $159.32 107 $17,047.24
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.31 107 $15,762.17 $15,906.76 $-1,285.07
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $142.43 111 $15,810.28
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $137.87 111 $15,303.85 $15,400.32 $-506.44
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $155.40 99 $15,384.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $148.71 99 $14,722.78 $14,738.51 $-661.81
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $148.72 99 $14,723.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $144.04 99 $14,260.45 $14,275.68 $-462.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 97 $14,253.67
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 97 $15,176.62 $15,198.63 +$922.95
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $159.77 95 $15,178.15
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $167.86 95 $15,946.70 $15,967.18 +$768.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $174.41 91 $15,871.31
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $183.20 91 $16,671.20 $16,767.07 +$799.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 82 $16,677.47
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 82 $18,199.20 $18,288.80 +$1,521.73
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 81 $18,183.69
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 81 $17,601.30 $17,706.41 $-582.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $201.94 87 $17,568.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 87 $16,899.31 $17,036.94 $-669.47
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $210.94 80 $16,875.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $203.70 80 $16,295.60 $16,457.34 $-579.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $205.22 80 $16,417.55
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 80 $18,313.39 $18,353.18 +$1,895.84
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
14 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 82 $18,256.89
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $214.83 82 $17,616.06 $17,712.35 $-640.83
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $206.54 85 $17,555.48
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $217.65 85 $18,500.25 $18,657.12 +$944.77
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $220.76 84 $18,543.84
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $212.00 84 $17,807.92 $17,921.20 $-735.92
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
17 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:45am ET $208.95 85 $17,760.75
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $221.16 85 $18,798.59 $18,959.04 +$1,037.84
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $252.60 75 $18,945.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $277.40 75 $20,805.00 $20,819.04 +$1,860.00
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $306.45 67 $20,532.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:05am ET $322.30 67 $21,594.10 $21,880.66 +$1,061.62
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $337.65 64 $21,609.60
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $355.59 64 $22,758.03 $23,029.09 +$1,148.43
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $409.62 56 $22,938.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $393.27 56 $22,023.12 $22,113.49 $-915.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $393.51 56 $22,036.56
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $380.23 56 $21,292.60 $21,369.53 $-743.96
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $378.97 56 $21,222.21
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $362.01 56 $20,272.28 $20,419.60 $-949.93
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $353.02 57 $20,122.14
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET $341.83 57 $19,484.03 $19,781.49 $-638.11
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $314.61 62 $19,506.13
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $304.96 62 $18,907.52 $19,182.88 $-598.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:25pm ET $369.35 51 $18,836.85
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $389.84 51 $19,881.84 $20,227.87 +$1,044.99
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET $405.85 49 $19,886.65
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $426.65 49 $20,906.09 $21,247.31 +$1,019.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $430.52 49 $21,095.48
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET $416.68 49 $20,417.56 $20,569.40 $-677.91
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $373.53 55 $20,544.15
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $361.16 55 $19,863.68 $19,888.93 $-680.47
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,888.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,888.93
Total Return: +98.89%
Back to Marcus Reversal