Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 28.8/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 24.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,839
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,250.39
Current Value
$13,640.86
Period P&L
$390.50
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$156,323.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$390.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$390.50
Gross Return
+2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,250.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.69 241 $13,181.49
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.37 241 $13,583.97 $13,605.84 +$402.47
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.76 257 $13,560.60
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET $51.15 257 $13,146.83 $13,192.07 $-413.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.40 261 $13,155.70
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 261 $12,723.75 $12,760.12 $-431.95
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $49.61 257 $12,749.77
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $48.06 257 $12,351.42 $12,361.77 $-398.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $47.47 260 $12,342.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.90 260 $12,972.70 $12,992.27 +$630.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $49.63 261 $12,953.43
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $52.12 261 $13,602.02 $13,640.86 +$648.59
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,640.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,640.86
Total Return: +36.41%
Back to Marcus Reversal