Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 8 trades in period

+16.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$23,770.51
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$20,407.73
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
9.6/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 78.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

30
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,852
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,407.73
Current Value
$23,770.51
Period P&L
$3,362.75
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-3.73%
Avg Trade Return
+1.92%
Avg Hold Time
8.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$361,541.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,362.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,362.75
Gross Return
+16.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $20,407.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $82.90 247 $20,476.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $87.05 247 $21,501.35 $21,578.54 +$1,025.05
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $76.86 280 $21,522.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $80.75 280 $22,608.60 $22,664.94 +$1,086.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $78.67 288 $22,655.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET $75.73 288 $21,810.24 $21,819.66 $-845.28
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $78.54 277 $21,755.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:30am ET $82.53 277 $22,860.81 $22,924.89 +$1,105.23
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $82.25 278 $22,866.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $79.66 278 $22,145.48 $22,203.48 $-721.41
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $78.51 282 $22,139.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $82.55 282 $23,279.10 $23,342.79 +$1,139.31
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $83.21 280 $23,298.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $87.40 280 $24,472.00 $24,515.99 +$1,173.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $89.55 273 $24,447.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET $86.82 273 $23,701.86 $23,770.51 $-745.48
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,770.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,770.51
Total Return: +137.71%
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