Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.3/35
Total Return
18.5/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 59.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 56.9

30-Day Momentum

60
+30.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.2 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,891
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,946.71
Current Value
$26,815.95
Period P&L
$6,869.29
Max Drawdown
-25.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+10.43%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
+2.62%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$509,874.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,869.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,869.29
Gross Return
+34.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,946.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $322.66 61 $19,682.26
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.39 61 $19,787.79 $20,052.19 +$105.53
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $300.24 66 $19,815.97
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:45am ET $315.74 66 $20,838.84 $21,075.06 +$1,022.87
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $312.93 67 $20,966.31
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $303.11 67 $20,308.37 $20,417.12 $-657.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $306.38 66 $20,221.08
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $295.99 66 $19,535.34 $19,731.38 $-685.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $294.59 66 $19,442.94
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:00am ET $309.34 66 $20,416.45 $20,704.89 +$973.51
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET $304.63 67 $20,410.21
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $295.38 67 $19,790.46 $20,085.14 $-619.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $290.96 69 $20,076.58
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $282.13 69 $19,466.63 $19,475.18 $-609.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $274.46 70 $19,212.55
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $291.00 70 $20,370.00 $20,632.63 +$1,157.45
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 71 $20,602.14
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 71 $22,750.17 $22,780.66 +$2,148.03
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $313.79 72 $22,592.52
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $329.76 72 $23,742.36 $23,930.50 +$1,149.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $332.86 71 $23,633.06
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET $349.54 71 $24,816.99 $25,114.43 +$1,183.93
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $349.95 71 $24,846.80
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 71 $26,548.32 $26,815.95 +$1,701.52
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $26,815.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$16,815.95
Total Return: +168.16%
Back to Marcus Reversal