Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

6
-8.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,891
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,573.90
Current Value
$8,618.62
Period P&L
$-2,955.28
Max Drawdown
-45.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
7 / 15
Best Trade
+8.59%
Worst Trade
-13.53%
Avg Trade Return
-1.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$451,596.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,955.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,955.28
Gross Return
-25.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,573.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $82.65 140 $11,571.70
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $86.86 140 $12,161.10 $12,163.30 +$589.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET $86.13 141 $12,144.33
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 141 $10,828.80 $10,847.77 $-1,315.53
(-10.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $74.34 145 $10,778.94
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $78.10 145 $11,324.50 $11,393.33 +$545.56
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET $74.74 152 $11,360.48
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $72.45 152 $11,012.40 $11,045.25 $-348.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $76.67 144 $11,040.13
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 144 $10,581.84 $10,586.96 $-458.29
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $74.19 142 $10,534.98
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.73 142 $11,321.66 $11,373.64 +$786.68
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:40am ET $80.65 141 $11,371.65
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.99 141 $10,996.59 $10,998.58 $-375.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.87 144 $10,925.28
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $80.25 144 $11,556.00 $11,629.30 +$630.72
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $77.02 150 $11,553.00
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $74.18 150 $11,126.99 $11,203.29 $-426.01
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $74.28 150 $11,142.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $71.61 150 $10,741.50 $10,802.79 $-400.50
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $71.50 151 $10,796.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $69.28 151 $10,461.28 $10,467.57 $-335.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $72.92 143 $10,427.56
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $70.71 143 $10,111.53 $10,151.54 $-316.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $66.98 151 $10,113.71
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $64.89 151 $9,798.39 $9,836.22 $-315.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $70.04 140 $9,805.59
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 140 $9,407.16 $9,437.79 $-398.43
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $69.61 135 $9,397.36
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $67.23 135 $9,076.50 $9,116.92 $-320.87
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $73.48 124 $9,111.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.95 124 $8,673.80 $8,679.20 $-437.72
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $69.29 125 $8,661.25
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 125 $9,405.00 $9,422.95 +$743.75
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $84.37 111 $9,365.07
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 111 $10,001.10 $10,058.98 +$636.03
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $89.20 112 $9,990.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 112 $9,674.56 $9,743.14 $-315.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $86.97 112 $9,740.64
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $83.89 112 $9,395.68 $9,398.18 $-344.96
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:30am ET $83.43 112 $9,344.62
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 112 $8,080.54 $8,134.10 $-1,264.08
(-13.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $72.96 111 $8,099.11
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 111 $8,583.63 $8,618.62 +$484.52
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,618.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,381.38
Total Return: -13.81%
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