Compendium › Marcus Reversal › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 24 trades in period

-28.31%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,744.26
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$10,802.79
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:25:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

4
-10.2%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,802.79
Current Value
$7,744.26
Period P&L
$-3,058.53
Max Drawdown
-45.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
7 / 17
Best Trade
+8.59%
Worst Trade
-13.53%
Avg Trade Return
-1.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$417,029.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,058.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,058.53
Gross Return
-28.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,802.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $71.50 151 $10,796.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $69.28 151 $10,461.28 $10,467.57 $-335.22
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $72.92 143 $10,427.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $70.71 143 $10,111.53 $10,151.54 $-316.03
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $66.98 151 $10,113.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $64.89 151 $9,798.39 $9,836.22 $-315.32
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $70.04 140 $9,805.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 140 $9,407.16 $9,437.79 $-398.43
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $69.61 135 $9,397.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $67.23 135 $9,076.50 $9,116.92 $-320.87
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $73.48 124 $9,111.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.95 124 $8,673.80 $8,679.20 $-437.72
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $69.29 125 $8,661.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 125 $9,405.00 $9,422.95 +$743.75
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $84.37 111 $9,365.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 111 $10,001.10 $10,058.98 +$636.03
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $89.20 112 $9,990.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 112 $9,674.56 $9,743.14 $-315.84
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $86.97 112 $9,740.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $83.89 112 $9,395.68 $9,398.18 $-344.96
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:30am ET $83.43 112 $9,344.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 112 $8,080.54 $8,134.10 $-1,264.08
(-13.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $72.96 111 $8,099.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 111 $8,583.63 $8,618.62 +$484.52
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $76.94 112 $8,617.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $74.43 112 $8,336.72 $8,338.06 $-280.56
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $78.74 105 $8,267.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $76.13 105 $7,993.97 $8,064.33 $-273.73
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:50am ET $75.75 106 $8,029.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $79.54 106 $8,431.58 $8,466.63 +$402.30
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $76.67 110 $8,433.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $74.28 110 $8,170.80 $8,203.73 $-262.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $75.47 108 $8,150.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:25am ET $79.42 108 $8,576.82 $8,629.79 +$426.06
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $92.52 93 $8,604.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 93 $8,004.97 $8,030.40 $-599.39
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $88.68 90 $7,980.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 90 $7,659.90 $7,709.55 $-320.85
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $84.93 90 $7,643.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $82.22 90 $7,400.25 $7,466.55 $-243.00
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $84.03 88 $7,394.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $81.26 88 $7,150.88 $7,222.80 $-243.75
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $88.00 82 $7,216.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $92.62 82 $7,594.84 $7,601.63 +$378.83
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.35 76 $7,550.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $96.21 76 $7,312.34 $7,363.37 $-238.26
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $105.83 69 $7,302.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $111.35 69 $7,683.15 $7,744.26 +$380.89
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,744.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,255.74
Total Return: -22.56%
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