MARA Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 32 trades in period
+8.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,763.40
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$4,373.96
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
4.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.7
30-Day Momentum
46
+13.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.4
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,373.96
Current Value
$4,763.40
Period P&L
$389.44
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
13 /
19
Best Trade
+7.84%
Worst Trade
-4.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$273,082.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$389.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$389.44
Gross Return
+8.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,373.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.86 | 493 | $4,367.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $8.56 | 493 | $4,220.08 | $4,226.06 |
$-147.90 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $8.32 | 507 | $4,218.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $8.97 | 507 | $4,549.06 | $4,556.83 |
+$330.77 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $8.29 | 549 | $4,551.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $8.00 | 549 | $4,392.00 | $4,397.62 |
$-159.21 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.88 | 558 | $4,397.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $8.27 | 558 | $4,617.45 | $4,618.03 |
+$220.41 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $7.81 | 591 | $4,615.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $8.26 | 591 | $4,878.71 | $4,880.97 |
+$262.94 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $8.83 | 552 | $4,874.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.56 | 552 | $4,727.88 | $4,734.75 |
$-146.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $9.60 | 493 | $4,730.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.31 | 493 | $4,587.37 | $4,591.78 |
$-142.97 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $10.73 | 428 | $4,590.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.37 | 428 | $4,438.40 | $4,439.88 |
$-151.90 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $11.74 | 378 | $4,435.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.30 | 378 | $4,272.80 | $4,276.74 |
$-163.14 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.45 | 373 | $4,272.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $11.10 | 373 | $4,139.96 | $4,143.99 |
$-132.75 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $11.81 | 350 | $4,135.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $11.41 | 350 | $3,995.25 | $4,003.99 |
$-140.00 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $11.18 | 358 | $4,002.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.77 | 358 | $3,855.66 | $3,857.25 |
$-146.74 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.73 | 359 | $3,850.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $10.39 | 359 | $3,729.97 | $3,736.95 |
$-120.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $11.87 | 314 | $3,727.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $11.49 | 314 | $3,608.30 | $3,618.04 |
$-118.91 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $11.90 | 303 | $3,607.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.57 | 303 | $3,808.71 | $3,819.53 |
+$201.49 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $12.80 | 298 | $3,814.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $12.39 | 298 | $3,690.73 | $3,695.86 |
$-123.67 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $12.97 | 284 | $3,683.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $13.63 | 284 | $3,870.92 | $3,883.27 |
+$187.41 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $11.97 | 324 | $3,879.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $12.59 | 324 | $4,077.54 | $4,081.62 |
+$198.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $12.68 | 322 | $4,081.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $13.31 | 322 | $4,286.56 | $4,286.83 |
+$205.21 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $12.15 | 352 | $4,275.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $11.63 | 352 | $4,092.00 | $4,103.79 |
$-183.04 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $13.26 | 309 | $4,097.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $13.98 | 309 | $4,321.36 | $4,327.81 |
+$224.02 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $14.54 | 297 | $4,318.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.05 | 297 | $4,172.85 | $4,182.28 |
$-145.53 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.86 | 301 | $4,173.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $14.63 | 301 | $4,402.13 | $4,411.04 |
+$228.76 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $14.86 | 296 | $4,400.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $14.39 | 296 | $4,257.96 | $4,268.96 |
$-142.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.53 | 315 | $4,262.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.03 | 315 | $4,104.42 | $4,110.80 |
$-158.16 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $13.69 | 300 | $4,105.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $14.37 | 300 | $4,310.79 | $4,316.09 |
+$205.29 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $13.18 | 327 | $4,308.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $12.77 | 327 | $4,175.43 | $4,183.30 |
$-132.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $13.91 | 300 | $4,174.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.94 | 300 | $4,482.00 | $4,490.80 |
+$307.50 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $14.73 | 304 | $4,476.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $14.27 | 304 | $4,336.56 | $4,350.96 |
$-139.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $13.88 | 313 | $4,344.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.91 | 313 | $4,666.86 | $4,673.38 |
+$322.42 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.39 | 324 | $4,662.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.14 | 324 | $4,903.74 | $4,914.76 |
+$241.38 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $13.96 | 352 | $4,913.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $13.53 | 352 | $4,762.56 | $4,763.40 |
$-151.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,763.40
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,236.60
Total Return:
-52.37%