Compendium › Marcus Reversal › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 23 trades in period

-3.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,858.48
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$12,285.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,285.37
Current Value
$11,858.48
Period P&L
$-426.90
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
9 / 14
Best Trade
+11.60%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$532,899.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-426.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-426.90
Gross Return
-3.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,285.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $140.65 80 $11,252.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $152.07 80 $12,165.26 $12,285.38 +$913.26
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $161.58 76 $12,280.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $156.07 76 $11,861.32 $11,866.62 $-418.76
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $157.90 75 $11,842.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $153.08 75 $11,481.19 $11,505.31 $-361.31
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $155.97 73 $11,385.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:25am ET $150.55 73 $10,990.51 $11,110.02 $-395.29
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:25am ET $139.32 79 $11,006.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $146.67 79 $11,586.93 $11,690.28 +$580.26
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $148.87 78 $11,611.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $144.22 78 $11,249.16 $11,327.58 $-362.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $145.08 78 $11,316.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET $152.38 78 $11,885.64 $11,896.98 +$569.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET $153.71 77 $11,835.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $148.40 77 $11,426.79 $11,488.49 $-408.49
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $148.74 77 $11,452.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 77 $12,782.00 $12,817.52 +$1,329.03
(+11.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:40am ET $162.60 78 $12,682.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:35am ET $157.71 78 $12,301.38 $12,436.27 $-381.25
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $155.75 79 $12,304.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $150.46 79 $11,886.34 $12,018.36 $-417.91
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $151.41 79 $11,961.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $146.34 79 $11,560.61 $11,617.62 $-400.74
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $144.37 80 $11,549.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $139.55 80 $11,164.40 $11,232.42 $-385.20
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $139.13 80 $11,130.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $146.12 80 $11,689.20 $11,791.62 +$559.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $145.45 81 $11,781.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $140.85 81 $11,408.85 $11,419.02 $-372.60
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $144.47 79 $11,413.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $139.66 79 $11,033.14 $11,039.03 $-379.99
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $135.49 81 $10,974.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $142.29 81 $11,525.49 $11,589.83 +$550.80
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $163.84 70 $11,468.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $172.32 70 $12,062.05 $12,183.08 +$593.25
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $179.60 67 $12,033.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $174.17 67 $11,669.42 $11,818.96 $-364.12
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $187.21 63 $11,794.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $179.80 63 $11,327.40 $11,352.13 $-466.83
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $171.53 66 $11,320.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 66 $10,720.38 $10,751.53 $-600.60
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 65 $10,631.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:25am ET $171.91 65 $11,174.15 $11,294.28 +$542.75
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.28 62 $11,177.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $189.38 62 $11,741.56 $11,858.48 +$564.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,858.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,858.48
Total Return: +18.58%
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