Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 20.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,822
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,049.69
Current Value
$11,907.75
Period P&L
$-3,141.94
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.64

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+1.58%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
-2.65%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$215,395.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,141.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,141.94
Gross Return
-20.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,049.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $178.93 82 $14,672.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.75 82 $14,903.50 $14,988.19 +$231.25
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
12.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $186.29 80 $14,903.20
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $179.95 80 $14,396.00 $14,480.99 $-507.20
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $176.46 82 $14,469.72
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $170.90 82 $14,014.21 $14,025.48 $-455.51
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $170.55 82 $13,985.51
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $164.04 82 $13,450.87 $13,490.84 $-534.64
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $174.60 77 $13,444.20
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $168.95 77 $13,009.15 $13,055.79 $-435.05
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:45am ET $163.37 79 $12,906.23
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $158.40 79 $12,513.60 $12,663.16 $-392.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $158.38 79 $12,512.41
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $153.48 79 $12,124.92 $12,275.67 $-387.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $167.52 73 $12,228.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $162.48 73 $11,861.04 $11,907.75 $-367.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,907.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,907.75
Total Return: +19.08%
Back to Marcus Reversal