RIOT Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 31 trades in period
+50.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,752.42
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$5,804.10
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
4.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
49
+19.3%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.3
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,804.10
Current Value
$8,752.42
Period P&L
$2,948.31
Max Drawdown
-51.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
17 /
14
Best Trade
+10.69%
Worst Trade
-5.20%
Avg Trade Return
+1.46%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,397.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,948.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,948.31
Gross Return
+50.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,804.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $14.22 | 408 | $5,801.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.98 | 408 | $6,111.84 | $6,114.19 |
+$310.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $14.57 | 419 | $6,104.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $13.98 | 419 | $5,859.71 | $5,869.07 |
$-245.12 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $12.89 | 455 | $5,862.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $12.47 | 455 | $5,671.58 | $5,677.97 |
$-191.10 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.57 | 490 | $5,669.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $12.31 | 490 | $6,031.90 | $6,040.72 |
+$362.75 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $12.60 | 479 | $6,033.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.94 | 479 | $5,719.26 | $5,726.97 |
$-313.75 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $13.44 | 426 | $5,726.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $14.12 | 426 | $6,015.12 | $6,015.29 |
+$288.32 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $16.80 | 358 | $6,014.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.98 | 358 | $5,720.84 | $5,721.73 |
$-293.56 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $18.35 | 311 | $5,708.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.58 | 311 | $5,467.38 | $5,480.71 |
$-241.02 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.56 | 331 | $5,479.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.53 | 331 | $5,802.43 | $5,803.44 |
+$322.73 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.74 | 327 | $5,800.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $18.67 | 327 | $6,103.46 | $6,106.18 |
+$302.74 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $18.57 | 328 | $6,090.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $17.92 | 328 | $5,877.76 | $5,892.98 |
$-213.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $18.30 | 322 | $5,892.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.40 | 322 | $5,602.80 | $5,603.18 |
$-289.80 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.33 | 343 | $5,599.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.82 | 343 | $5,426.23 | $5,429.93 |
$-173.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $16.78 | 323 | $5,421.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.58 | 323 | $6,001.34 | $6,009.72 |
+$579.79 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $18.27 | 328 | $5,992.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 328 | $6,361.56 | $6,378.69 |
+$368.97 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $22.67 | 281 | $6,370.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.82 | 281 | $6,693.42 | $6,701.84 |
+$323.15 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $23.94 | 279 | $6,679.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.16 | 279 | $7,018.25 | $7,040.83 |
+$338.99 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.73 | 296 | $7,024.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:20pm ET | $25.00 | 296 | $7,400.00 | $7,416.75 |
+$375.92 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $24.48 | 302 | $7,392.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.70 | 302 | $7,157.40 | $7,181.19 |
$-235.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.38 | 307 | $7,177.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $22.59 | 307 | $6,934.85 | $6,938.38 |
$-242.81 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $21.97 | 315 | $6,918.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.23 | 315 | $7,317.45 | $7,336.85 |
+$398.47 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $24.74 | 296 | $7,321.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.98 | 296 | $7,690.08 | $7,705.37 |
+$368.52 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $26.71 | 288 | $7,692.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $28.27 | 288 | $8,141.73 | $8,154.62 |
+$449.25 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.31 | 298 | $8,138.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.22 | 298 | $7,812.07 | $7,828.31 |
$-326.31 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.89 | 280 | $7,809.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.63 | 280 | $7,455.00 | $7,474.08 |
$-354.23 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.41 | 283 | $7,474.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.54 | 283 | $7,227.82 | $7,227.87 |
$-246.21 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.67 | 281 | $7,214.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.72 | 281 | $6,946.32 | $6,959.52 |
$-268.35 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $23.87 | 291 | $6,946.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $25.07 | 291 | $7,295.37 | $7,308.72 |
+$349.20 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $26.50 | 275 | $7,287.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.41 | 275 | $7,812.75 | $7,833.97 |
+$525.25 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $27.61 | 283 | $7,813.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.17 | 283 | $8,255.11 | $8,275.42 |
+$441.45 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.55 | 300 | $8,265.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $29.14 | 300 | $8,742.00 | $8,752.42 |
+$477.00 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,752.42
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,247.58
Total Return:
-12.48%