Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 15:32:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.5/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 69.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 68.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-11.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,909
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$30,478.50
Current Value
$31,261.68
Period P&L
$783.20
Max Drawdown
-21.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-8.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,310,406.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$783.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$783.20
Gross Return
+2.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $30,478.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $61.72 496 $30,613.12
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $66.14 496 $32,805.44 $32,843.95 +$2,192.32
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 529 $32,819.69
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.91 529 $34,866.39 $34,890.65 +$2,046.70
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $67.71 515 $34,870.65
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $63.62 515 $32,765.85 $32,785.85 $-2,104.80
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $65.36 501 $32,742.86
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $69.81 501 $34,974.81 $35,017.80 +$2,231.95
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $68.50 511 $35,000.95
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $71.94 511 $36,763.89 $36,780.75 +$1,762.95
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $71.61 513 $36,735.93
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $69.25 513 $35,525.25 $35,570.07 $-1,210.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $70.35 505 $35,524.23
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $68.04 505 $34,360.25 $34,406.09 $-1,163.98
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $68.93 499 $34,393.97
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 499 $32,774.32 $32,786.44 $-1,619.65
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $64.85 505 $32,749.25
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $68.24 505 $34,461.25 $34,498.44 +$1,712.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $66.83 516 $34,484.28
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $70.23 516 $36,238.58 $36,252.73 +$1,754.29
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:40am ET $73.41 493 $36,191.13
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $77.14 493 $38,030.02 $38,091.62 +$1,838.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $76.61 497 $38,077.65
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $80.49 497 $40,003.53 $40,017.50 +$1,925.88
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $76.51 523 $40,014.83
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $69.71 523 $36,460.42 $36,463.09 $-3,554.41
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:40am ET $69.08 527 $36,405.16
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $66.54 527 $35,066.58 $35,124.51 $-1,338.58
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $68.42 513 $35,099.97
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $66.25 513 $33,988.81 $34,013.35 $-1,111.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $68.05 499 $33,956.95
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $64.10 499 $31,985.90 $32,042.30 $-1,971.05
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $61.62 519 $31,980.78
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $59.32 519 $30,785.73 $30,847.25 $-1,195.05
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $58.62 526 $30,834.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $61.63 526 $32,414.75 $32,427.88 +$1,580.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $63.16 513 $32,402.77
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.89 513 $31,236.57 $31,261.68 $-1,166.20
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $31,261.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$21,261.68
Total Return: +212.62%
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