Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:55:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 73.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 72.8

30-Day Momentum

20
+5.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.9 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,194.14
Current Value
$36,252.73
Period P&L
$15,058.60
Max Drawdown
-21.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
12 / 7
Best Trade
+8.94%
Worst Trade
-6.04%
Avg Trade Return
+2.38%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,204,038.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,058.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,058.60
Gross Return
+71.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+71.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $21,194.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $67.38 352 $23,717.79
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $73.40 352 $25,838.56 $25,884.81 +$2,120.77
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $67.22 385 $25,879.70
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $70.64 385 $27,196.17 $27,201.28 +$1,316.47
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:40am ET $70.71 384 $27,152.64
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET $74.53 384 $28,619.52 $28,668.16 +$1,466.88
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $79.07 362 $28,621.53
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $83.13 362 $30,093.06 $30,139.69 +$1,471.53
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.32 370 $30,088.40
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.86 370 $29,178.20 $29,229.49 $-910.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $74.69 391 $29,205.74
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 391 $31,542.01 $31,565.75 +$2,336.26
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $77.92 405 $31,557.60
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:00am ET $75.53 405 $30,589.69 $30,597.84 $-967.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $73.04 418 $30,530.72
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $69.52 418 $29,059.36 $29,126.48 $-1,471.36
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $61.88 470 $29,085.95
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $65.13 470 $30,611.10 $30,651.63 +$1,525.15
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $61.72 496 $30,613.12
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $66.14 496 $32,805.44 $32,843.95 +$2,192.32
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 529 $32,819.69
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.91 529 $34,866.39 $34,890.65 +$2,046.70
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $67.71 515 $34,870.65
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $63.62 515 $32,765.85 $32,785.85 $-2,104.80
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $65.36 501 $32,742.86
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $69.81 501 $34,974.81 $35,017.80 +$2,231.95
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $68.50 511 $35,000.95
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $71.94 511 $36,763.89 $36,780.75 +$1,762.95
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $71.61 513 $36,735.93
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $69.25 513 $35,525.25 $35,570.07 $-1,210.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $70.35 505 $35,524.23
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $68.04 505 $34,360.25 $34,406.09 $-1,163.98
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $68.93 499 $34,393.97
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 499 $32,774.32 $32,786.44 $-1,619.65
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $64.85 505 $32,749.25
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $68.24 505 $34,461.25 $34,498.44 +$1,712.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $66.83 516 $34,484.28
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $70.23 516 $36,238.58 $36,252.73 +$1,754.29
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $36,252.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$26,252.73
Total Return: +262.53%
Back to Marcus Reversal