Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:20:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

6
-30.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,894
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,880.77
Current Value
$4,618.70
Period P&L
$-1,262.10
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
7 / 15
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.99%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$248,070.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,262.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,262.10
Gross Return
-21.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,880.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $71.38 82 $5,853.16
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $69.20 82 $5,674.40 $5,702.04 $-178.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET $73.00 78 $5,693.61
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:15am ET $70.67 78 $5,512.26 $5,520.69 $-181.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:25pm ET $72.34 76 $5,498.10
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:55am ET $70.01 76 $5,321.14 $5,343.73 $-176.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $72.83 73 $5,316.59
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET $70.60 73 $5,153.80 $5,180.94 $-162.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $68.15 76 $5,179.40
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $71.59 76 $5,440.84 $5,442.38 +$261.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $71.03 76 $5,398.07
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $74.71 76 $5,677.96 $5,722.27 +$279.89
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $71.30 80 $5,704.00
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $69.16 80 $5,532.80 $5,551.07 $-171.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $71.49 77 $5,504.73
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.15 77 $5,786.55 $5,832.89 +$281.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $70.31 82 $5,765.41
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $73.85 82 $6,055.68 $6,123.15 +$290.26
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $75.27 81 $6,096.87
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $73.01 81 $5,913.81 $5,940.09 $-183.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $71.31 83 $5,918.32
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $74.93 83 $6,219.19 $6,240.97 +$300.88
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $76.60 81 $6,204.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $80.47 81 $6,518.07 $6,554.44 +$313.47
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $85.44 76 $6,493.44
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $89.80 76 $6,824.80 $6,885.80 +$331.36
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET $80.98 85 $6,883.30
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $78.06 85 $6,634.99 $6,637.49 $-248.31
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $77.63 85 $6,598.55
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.99 85 $5,779.15 $5,818.09 $-819.40
(-12.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $69.29 83 $5,751.07
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $67.17 83 $5,575.33 $5,642.35 $-175.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $67.40 83 $5,594.21
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $64.35 83 $5,341.05 $5,389.19 $-253.16
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $61.79 87 $5,375.73
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $59.88 87 $5,209.55 $5,223.01 $-166.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.90 88 $5,183.21
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $57.11 88 $5,025.67 $5,065.47 $-157.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $56.44 89 $5,022.72
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $54.74 89 $4,871.42 $4,914.17 $-151.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $53.70 91 $4,887.11
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.08 91 $4,739.29 $4,766.35 $-147.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
22 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.94 95 $4,744.31
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $48.39 95 $4,596.66 $4,618.70 $-147.65
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,618.70
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,381.30
Total Return: -53.81%
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