Compendium › Marcus Reversal › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 24 trades in period

-44.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,436.95
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$6,240.94
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:07:32

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

6
-19.5%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,240.94
Current Value
$3,436.95
Period P&L
$-2,804.02
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
4 / 20
Best Trade
+5.65%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-2.39%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$228,878.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,804.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,804.02
Gross Return
-44.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-44.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,240.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $76.60 81 $6,204.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $80.47 81 $6,518.07 $6,554.44 +$313.47
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $85.44 76 $6,493.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $89.80 76 $6,824.80 $6,885.80 +$331.36
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET $80.98 85 $6,883.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $78.06 85 $6,634.99 $6,637.49 $-248.31
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $77.63 85 $6,598.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.99 85 $5,779.15 $5,818.09 $-819.40
(-12.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $69.29 83 $5,751.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $67.17 83 $5,575.33 $5,642.35 $-175.74
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $67.40 83 $5,594.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $64.35 83 $5,341.05 $5,389.19 $-253.16
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $61.79 87 $5,375.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $59.88 87 $5,209.55 $5,223.01 $-166.18
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.90 88 $5,183.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $57.11 88 $5,025.67 $5,065.47 $-157.54
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $56.44 89 $5,022.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $54.74 89 $4,871.42 $4,914.17 $-151.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $53.70 91 $4,887.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.08 91 $4,739.29 $4,766.35 $-147.82
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.94 95 $4,744.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $48.39 95 $4,596.66 $4,618.70 $-147.65
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $46.19 100 $4,618.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:40am ET $44.66 100 $4,466.00 $4,466.20 $-152.50
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:40am ET $43.69 102 $4,455.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $42.35 102 $4,319.19 $4,329.52 $-136.68
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $44.48 97 $4,314.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $42.94 97 $4,165.18 $4,180.14 $-149.38
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:05am ET $41.08 101 $4,149.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $43.31 101 $4,373.81 $4,404.86 +$224.72
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $43.75 100 $4,375.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $42.42 100 $4,241.50 $4,270.91 $-133.95
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $42.01 101 $4,243.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 101 $4,041.07 $4,068.96 $-201.95
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $38.90 104 $4,045.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $37.69 104 $3,919.75 $3,943.11 $-125.85
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET $37.91 104 $3,942.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $36.65 104 $3,812.12 $3,812.60 $-130.51
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $37.98 100 $3,797.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $40.12 100 $4,012.01 $4,027.00 +$214.40
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $41.17 97 $3,993.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $39.90 97 $3,870.31 $3,904.30 $-122.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET $43.52 89 $3,873.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.16 89 $3,752.24 $3,783.25 $-121.05
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.75 95 $3,776.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.25 95 $3,538.75 $3,545.76 $-237.49
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $37.83 93 $3,518.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $36.66 93 $3,409.38 $3,436.95 $-108.81
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,436.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,563.05
Total Return: -65.63%
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