Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

60
+36.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.4 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+55 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,876
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,640.48
Current Value
$6,053.11
Period P&L
$1,412.62
Max Drawdown
-54.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+12.86%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
+3.21%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$85,136.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,412.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,412.62
Gross Return
+30.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,640.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $274.66 16 $4,394.56
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $275.21 16 $4,403.44 $4,649.37 +$8.88
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $290.53 16 $4,648.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $280.42 16 $4,486.69 $4,487.58 $-161.79
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $281.84 15 $4,227.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $273.21 15 $4,098.08 $4,358.06 $-129.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $271.94 16 $4,351.04
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $262.93 16 $4,206.88 $4,213.90 $-144.16
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $259.71 16 $4,155.44
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $274.44 16 $4,391.04 $4,449.50 +$235.60
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $272.71 16 $4,363.36
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 16 $4,924.64 $5,010.78 +$561.28
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $306.22 16 $4,899.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $321.58 16 $5,145.20 $5,256.46 +$245.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $321.85 16 $5,149.59
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 16 $5,662.24 $5,769.11 +$512.65
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $354.52 16 $5,672.32
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $372.27 16 $5,956.32 $6,053.11 +$284.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,053.11
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,946.89
Total Return: -39.47%
Back to Marcus Reversal