Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:14:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 18.5

30-Day Momentum

21
+5.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.4 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,806
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,054.28
Current Value
$11,733.51
Period P&L
$-320.80
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-5.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$209,244.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-320.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-320.80
Gross Return
-2.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,054.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $92.57 131 $12,126.67
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $94.63 131 $12,396.53 $12,410.63 +$269.86
(+2.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET $87.71 141 $12,367.11
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $85.05 141 $11,992.05 $12,035.57 $-375.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $84.55 142 $12,006.10
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:30am ET $81.76 142 $11,609.91 $11,639.38 $-396.19
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $82.46 141 $11,626.86
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $78.17 141 $11,021.97 $11,034.49 $-604.89
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $78.48 140 $10,987.20
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.42 140 $10,558.80 $10,606.09 $-428.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $75.50 140 $10,570.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $79.47 140 $11,125.80 $11,161.89 +$555.80
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.77 143 $11,121.11
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $81.71 143 $11,683.82 $11,724.60 +$562.71
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.41 144 $11,723.04
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $85.49 144 $12,310.11 $12,311.67 +$587.07
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $85.40 144 $12,297.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $81.39 144 $11,719.44 $11,733.51 $-578.16
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,733.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,733.51
Total Return: +17.34%
Back to Marcus Reversal