Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,117
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,081.12
Current Value
$4,554.07
Period P&L
$-1,527.03
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
5 / 15
Best Trade
+6.27%
Worst Trade
-6.06%
Avg Trade Return
-1.41%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,282.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,527.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,527.03
Gross Return
-25.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,081.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $245.44 24 $5,890.56
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $238.04 24 $5,712.91 $5,903.46 $-177.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:30pm ET $241.70 24 $5,800.78
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $254.23 24 $6,101.46 $6,204.14 +$300.68
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET $271.23 22 $5,966.95
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $262.26 22 $5,769.72 $6,006.91 $-197.23
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $264.77 22 $5,825.04
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $281.37 22 $6,190.05 $6,371.92 +$365.02
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $284.57 22 $6,260.54
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $275.73 22 $6,066.12 $6,177.50 $-194.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $288.29 21 $6,054.18
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $279.64 21 $5,872.34 $5,995.65 $-181.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $279.85 21 $5,876.91
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $271.24 21 $5,696.04 $5,814.78 $-180.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $259.41 22 $5,706.91
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $250.33 22 $5,507.26 $5,615.13 $-199.65
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $233.87 24 $5,612.88
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $237.26 24 $5,694.36 $5,696.60 +$81.48
(+1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $238.02 23 $5,474.46
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $230.40 23 $5,299.31 $5,521.45 $-175.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $219.11 25 $5,477.75
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $211.90 25 $5,297.50 $5,341.20 $-180.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET $214.25 24 $5,142.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:10am ET $207.59 24 $4,982.16 $5,181.36 $-159.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:40am ET $200.65 25 $5,016.25
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $193.24 25 $4,830.88 $4,995.99 $-185.37
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $202.91 24 $4,869.84
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $213.19 24 $5,116.56 $5,242.71 +$246.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $213.99 24 $5,135.88
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $207.48 24 $4,979.52 $5,086.35 $-156.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $200.85 25 $5,021.25
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $194.73 25 $4,868.25 $4,933.35 $-153.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:10am ET $200.70 24 $4,816.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 24 $4,657.32 $4,773.87 $-159.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $191.62 24 $4,598.88
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $184.60 24 $4,430.40 $4,605.39 $-168.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $182.11 25 $4,552.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.71 25 $4,792.75 $4,845.39 +$240.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $192.18 25 $4,804.38
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 25 $4,513.05 $4,554.07 $-291.32
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,554.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,445.93
Total Return: -54.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal