AMC Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 46 trades in period
-20.99%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,428.84
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$5,605.49
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.4
30-Day Momentum
9
-0.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,213
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,605.49
Current Value
$4,428.84
Period P&L
$-1,176.71
Max Drawdown
-59.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
15 /
31
Best Trade
+7.42%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$421,790.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,176.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,176.71
Gross Return
-20.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,605.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:10am ET | $2.51 | 2,172 | $5,451.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $2.43 | 2,172 | $5,278.18 | $5,279.97 |
$-172.89 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $2.44 | 2,163 | $5,277.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:25am ET | $2.37 | 2,163 | $5,115.50 | $5,117.75 |
$-162.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:40pm ET | $2.28 | 2,249 | $5,116.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:55am ET | $2.20 | 2,249 | $4,947.80 | $4,949.07 |
$-168.67 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $2.19 | 2,259 | $4,947.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:00pm ET | $2.12 | 2,259 | $4,789.08 | $4,790.94 |
$-158.13 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $2.08 | 2,308 | $4,789.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:20pm ET | $2.18 | 2,308 | $5,031.44 | $5,033.28 |
+$242.34 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:40pm ET | $2.29 | 2,202 | $5,031.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:50am ET | $2.41 | 2,202 | $5,295.81 | $5,297.52 |
+$264.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 3:05pm ET | $2.35 | 2,249 | $5,295.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:25am ET | $2.27 | 2,249 | $5,105.23 | $5,107.48 |
$-190.04 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $2.26 | 2,259 | $5,105.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $2.19 | 2,259 | $4,947.21 | $4,949.35 |
$-158.13 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $2.13 | 2,323 | $4,948.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $2.05 | 2,323 | $4,761.92 | $4,763.05 |
$-186.30 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $1.97 | 2,423 | $4,761.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:40am ET | $1.91 | 2,423 | $4,615.82 | $4,617.67 |
$-145.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $1.80 | 2,565 | $4,617.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $1.75 | 2,565 | $4,475.93 | $4,476.59 |
$-141.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $1.66 | 2,689 | $4,475.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $1.61 | 2,689 | $4,329.29 | $4,330.58 |
$-146.01 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:10am ET | $1.58 | 2,738 | $4,329.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.52 | 2,738 | $4,161.76 | $4,162.74 |
$-167.84 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.55 | 2,685 | $4,161.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.50 | 2,685 | $4,014.08 | $4,015.06 |
$-147.68 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.59 | 2,533 | $4,014.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.69 | 2,533 | $4,279.25 | $4,279.51 |
+$264.45 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.66 | 2,574 | $4,279.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.61 | 2,574 | $4,144.14 | $4,144.37 |
$-135.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.55 | 2,669 | $4,143.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.63 | 2,669 | $4,358.74 | $4,359.76 |
+$215.39 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1.60 | 2,724 | $4,358.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.69 | 2,724 | $4,602.20 | $4,603.56 |
+$243.80 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.66 | 2,773 | $4,603.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.61 | 2,773 | $4,450.67 | $4,451.05 |
$-152.52 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.51 | 2,957 | $4,450.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.46 | 2,957 | $4,302.44 | $4,303.20 |
$-147.85 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $1.44 | 2,988 | $4,302.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.39 | 2,988 | $4,153.32 | $4,153.80 |
$-149.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.37 | 3,031 | $4,152.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.44 | 3,031 | $4,364.64 | $4,365.97 |
+$212.17 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.38 | 3,163 | $4,364.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.47 | 3,163 | $4,640.12 | $4,641.46 |
+$275.50 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.46 | 3,179 | $4,641.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $1.41 | 3,179 | $4,498.28 | $4,498.41 |
$-143.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.37 | 3,283 | $4,497.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.36 | 3,283 | $4,464.88 | $4,465.58 |
$-32.83 (-0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.35 | 3,320 | $4,465.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.30 | 3,320 | $4,315.67 | $4,315.85 |
$-149.73 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.23 | 3,508 | $4,314.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.30 | 3,508 | $4,560.75 | $4,561.76 |
+$245.91 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.23 | 3,708 | $4,560.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $1.19 | 3,708 | $4,422.90 | $4,423.82 |
$-137.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1.18 | 3,749 | $4,423.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.14 | 3,749 | $4,273.86 | $4,273.86 |
$-149.96 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.12 | 3,833 | $4,273.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.17 | 3,833 | $4,503.77 | $4,503.84 |
+$229.98 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $1.20 | 3,753 | $4,503.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.16 | 3,753 | $4,353.48 | $4,353.72 |
$-150.12 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.09 | 3,994 | $4,353.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.05 | 3,994 | $4,193.70 | $4,193.96 |
$-159.76 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $1.01 | 4,152 | $4,193.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $0.9772 | 4,152 | $4,057.33 | $4,057.77 |
$-136.19 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $0.9902 | 4,097 | $4,056.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9560 | 4,097 | $3,916.73 | $3,917.65 |
$-140.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $0.9878 | 3,966 | $3,917.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.05 | 3,966 | $4,184.13 | $4,184.17 |
+$266.52 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.00 | 4,184 | $4,184.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.07 | 4,184 | $4,455.96 | $4,456.13 |
+$271.96 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1.27 | 3,495 | $4,456.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.23 | 3,495 | $4,298.85 | $4,298.86 |
$-157.27 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.30 | 3,306 | $4,298.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.40 | 3,306 | $4,617.16 | $4,617.89 |
+$319.03 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.35 | 3,420 | $4,616.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.42 | 3,420 | $4,848.19 | $4,849.42 |
+$231.53 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1.49 | 3,254 | $4,848.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.57 | 3,254 | $5,094.46 | $5,095.42 |
+$246.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.56 | 3,266 | $5,095.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.64 | 3,266 | $5,372.57 | $5,372.70 |
+$277.28 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 3,001 | $5,371.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.71 | 3,001 | $5,132.31 | $5,133.22 |
$-239.48 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.71 | 3,010 | $5,132.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1.64 | 3,010 | $4,936.40 | $4,937.57 |
$-195.65 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.61 | 3,066 | $4,936.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.54 | 3,066 | $4,721.64 | $4,722.95 |
$-214.62 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.52 | 3,097 | $4,722.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.48 | 3,097 | $4,568.08 | $4,568.10 |
$-154.85 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.50 | 3,054 | $4,566.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.45 | 3,054 | $4,427.69 | $4,428.84 |
$-139.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,428.84
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,571.16
Total Return:
-55.71%