Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 36.3/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

32
+8.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.9 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,791
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,208.09
Current Value
$17,643.31
Period P&L
$3,435.20
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-3.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.26%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$708,576.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,435.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,435.20
Gross Return
+24.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,208.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 11:25am ET $97.98 139 $13,619.18
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET $103.45 139 $14,379.55 $14,426.34 +$760.37
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
27d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $101.52 142 $14,415.84
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $98.38 142 $13,969.25 $13,979.75 $-446.59
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $98.29 142 $13,957.18
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $103.26 142 $14,662.92 $14,685.49 +$705.74
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $103.84 141 $14,641.44
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:25pm ET $109.08 141 $15,379.58 $15,423.62 +$738.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:10pm ET $109.07 141 $15,378.87
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $114.58 141 $16,155.78 $16,200.53 +$776.91
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $118.15 137 $16,186.55
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $114.20 137 $15,645.40 $15,659.38 $-541.15
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $116.65 134 $15,631.10
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $113.00 134 $15,142.00 $15,170.28 $-489.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $114.13 132 $15,064.50
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET $119.85 132 $15,820.20 $15,925.98 +$755.70
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:50am ET $113.53 140 $15,894.20
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $119.66 140 $16,752.40 $16,784.18 +$858.20
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $124.08 135 $16,750.81
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $123.99 135 $16,737.98 $16,771.35 $-12.84
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $116.20 144 $16,732.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET $112.61 144 $16,215.12 $16,253.67 $-517.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:10am ET $107.79 150 $16,168.50
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET $113.34 150 $17,001.00 $17,086.17 +$832.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $114.68 148 $16,972.64
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $110.94 148 $16,419.86 $16,533.39 $-552.78
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $107.78 153 $16,490.34
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $103.75 153 $15,873.75 $15,916.80 $-616.59
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $103.91 153 $15,898.23
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $110.00 153 $16,830.00 $16,848.57 +$931.77
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $108.77 154 $16,750.58
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $105.15 154 $16,193.10 $16,291.09 $-557.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $106.15 153 $16,240.95
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $112.59 153 $17,226.27 $17,276.41 +$985.32
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $110.52 156 $17,241.12
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $107.17 156 $16,718.52 $16,753.81 $-522.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $115.60 144 $16,645.68
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $112.10 144 $16,142.40 $16,250.53 $-503.28
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $116.32 139 $16,168.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $124.30 139 $17,277.70 $17,359.75 +$1,109.22
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $124.54 139 $17,311.06
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $130.96 139 $18,203.44 $18,252.13 +$892.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET $130.50 139 $18,139.50
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $126.12 139 $17,530.68 $17,643.31 $-608.82
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,643.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,643.31
Total Return: +76.43%
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