Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:11:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 44.8/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 37.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,788.82
Current Value
$18,383.45
Period P&L
$-1,405.37
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+8.44%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$555,119.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,405.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,405.37
Gross Return
-7.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,788.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $299.06 63 $18,840.78
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 2:25pm ET $314.06 63 $19,785.79 $19,929.45 +$945.01
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:40am ET $314.87 63 $19,836.81
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $301.87 63 $19,017.81 $19,110.45 $-819.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET $303.21 63 $19,102.23
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $293.24 63 $18,473.81 $18,482.03 $-628.42
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $297.43 62 $18,440.66
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:15am ET $312.40 62 $19,368.80 $19,410.17 +$928.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $309.16 62 $19,167.92
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:45am ET $299.32 62 $18,557.84 $18,800.09 $-610.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $318.55 59 $18,794.45
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $334.50 59 $19,735.50 $19,741.14 +$941.05
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET $333.15 59 $19,655.85
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $322.47 59 $19,025.44 $19,110.72 $-630.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $320.55 59 $18,912.30
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $310.89 59 $18,342.51 $18,540.93 $-569.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:20am ET $310.14 59 $18,297.97
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $300.24 59 $17,714.16 $17,957.13 $-583.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:55am ET $299.89 59 $17,693.51
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $315.36 59 $18,606.53 $18,870.15 +$913.02
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $316.81 59 $18,691.77
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $306.01 59 $18,054.47 $18,232.86 $-637.29
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $322.70 56 $18,071.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $322.06 56 $18,035.36 $18,197.01 $-35.84
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $305.15 59 $18,004.14
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $295.92 59 $17,459.28 $17,652.15 $-544.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $297.52 59 $17,553.68
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $285.89 59 $16,867.51 $16,965.98 $-686.17
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $284.70 59 $16,797.01
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.72 59 $18,214.48 $18,383.45 +$1,417.47
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,383.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,383.45
Total Return: +83.83%
Back to Marcus Reversal