Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 35.4/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 29.4

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,257
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,147.91
Current Value
$13,145.95
Period P&L
$-1.97
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+5.28%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
14.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$292,330.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1.97
Gross Return
-0.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,147.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $69.44 187 $12,984.35
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $67.35 187 $12,593.52 $12,660.78 $-390.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $70.46 179 $12,611.45
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:05am ET $73.98 179 $13,242.42 $13,291.76 +$630.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $74.50 178 $13,260.11
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $78.43 178 $13,960.54 $13,992.19 +$700.43
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $78.61 177 $13,914.85
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.97 177 $13,801.57 $13,878.91 $-113.28
(-0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:30am ET $78.94 175 $13,815.37
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $76.56 175 $13,398.02 $13,461.55 $-417.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.61 175 $13,407.62
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $74.28 175 $12,999.00 $13,052.93 $-408.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:45am ET $75.15 173 $13,001.81
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.28 173 $13,196.44 $13,247.56 +$194.63
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.76 166 $13,240.18
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $80.58 166 $13,377.11 $13,384.49 +$136.93
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $79.43 168 $13,343.40
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $77.04 168 $12,942.72 $12,983.81 $-400.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $79.70 162 $12,911.40
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $83.82 162 $13,578.03 $13,650.44 +$666.63
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET $83.61 163 $13,627.62
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $80.51 163 $13,123.13 $13,145.95 $-504.49
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,145.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,145.95
Total Return: +31.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal