Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 19:57:01

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
3.9/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,292
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,649.16
Current Value
$10,191.24
Period P&L
$-457.92
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-3.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
15d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$233,126.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-457.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-457.92
Gross Return
-4.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,649.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:50pm ET $314.54 34 $10,694.19
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.95 34 $10,300.13 $10,375.29 $-394.06
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.21 34 $10,241.14
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET $316.59 34 $10,763.89 $10,898.04 +$522.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
24.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $311.68 34 $10,596.95
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $327.38 34 $11,130.75 $11,431.84 +$533.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $326.12 35 $11,414.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $325.51 35 $11,392.85 $11,410.49 $-21.35
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $326.31 34 $11,094.43
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $316.46 34 $10,759.64 $11,075.70 $-334.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $309.45 35 $10,830.75
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $312.27 35 $10,929.45 $11,174.40 +$98.70
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $303.68 36 $10,932.66
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET $294.46 36 $10,600.74 $10,842.48 $-331.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $293.68 36 $10,572.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $284.67 36 $10,248.30 $10,518.30 $-324.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $284.53 36 $10,243.08
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $275.98 36 $9,935.28 $10,210.50 $-307.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $276.43 36 $9,951.48
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $285.27 36 $10,269.54 $10,528.56 +$318.06
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $285.58 36 $10,280.88
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $276.21 36 $9,943.56 $10,191.24 $-337.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,191.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$191.24
Total Return: +1.91%
Back to Marcus Reversal