Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:02:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,673
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,623.43
Current Value
$9,102.38
Period P&L
$478.95
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
15.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$197,973.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$478.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$478.95
Gross Return
+5.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,623.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 3:25pm ET $24.70 350 $8,643.25
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $24.84 350 $8,692.25 $8,705.65 +$49.00
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:05pm ET $25.80 337 $8,695.75
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET $25.01 337 $8,427.33 $8,437.23 $-268.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $24.52 344 $8,433.16
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $25.75 344 $8,858.86 $8,862.93 +$425.70
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:20pm ET $25.72 344 $8,847.71
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:35pm ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08 $8,596.29 $-266.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:40am ET $24.95 344 $8,581.08
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $26.23 344 $9,021.40 $9,036.61 +$440.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $25.56 353 $9,020.92
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $26.86 353 $9,481.16 $9,496.86 +$460.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.94 352 $9,484.64
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.07 352 $9,528.64 $9,540.86 +$44.00
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $27.33 349 $9,537.68
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $26.45 349 $9,231.05 $9,234.23 $-306.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET $27.23 339 $9,230.97
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET $26.36 339 $8,937.73 $8,941.00 $-293.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET $26.41 338 $8,924.89
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET $27.73 338 $9,372.74 $9,388.85 +$447.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET $27.46 341 $9,363.86
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $26.62 341 $9,077.39 $9,102.38 $-286.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,102.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-897.62
Total Return: -8.98%
Back to Marcus Reversal