Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 41.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 34.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,690
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,544.22
Current Value
$14,246.09
Period P&L
$701.87
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+6.89%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
19.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$233,778.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$701.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$701.87
Gross Return
+5.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,544.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $615.24 21 $12,920.04
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $623.20 21 $13,087.23 $13,539.21 +$167.19
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:45am ET $625.04 21 $13,125.74
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $605.55 21 $12,716.55 $13,130.02 $-409.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $609.04 21 $12,789.77
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:05am ET $626.86 21 $13,164.06 $13,504.31 +$374.29
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET $629.38 21 $13,216.98
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $625.83 21 $13,142.43 $13,429.76 $-74.55
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $633.45 21 $13,302.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $638.93 21 $13,417.53 $13,544.84 +$115.08
(+0.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
18d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $622.83 21 $13,079.43
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $602.88 21 $12,660.48 $13,125.89 $-418.95
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $604.09 21 $12,685.84
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $585.47 21 $12,294.97 $12,735.03 $-390.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $582.18 21 $12,225.78
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $622.28 21 $13,067.78 $13,577.03 +$842.00
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $624.11 21 $13,106.31
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $655.97 21 $13,775.37 $14,246.09 +$669.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,246.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,246.09
Total Return: +42.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal