Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 17.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.8

30-Day Momentum

77
+58.2%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
5.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.3 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,362
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,695.04
Current Value
$12,017.50
Period P&L
$6,322.45
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
19 / 13
Best Trade
+23.63%
Worst Trade
-12.17%
Avg Trade Return
+2.53%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$517,745.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,322.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,322.45
Gross Return
+111.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+111.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,695.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET $37.26 154 $5,737.27
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $39.18 154 $6,032.95 $6,053.09 +$295.68
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $39.79 152 $6,047.32
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $42.05 152 $6,391.75 $6,397.52 +$344.43
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $41.79 153 $6,393.11
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $44.31 153 $6,778.67 $6,783.08 +$385.56
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $44.45 152 $6,755.64
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $46.94 152 $7,134.88 $7,162.32 +$379.24
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:45am ET $47.67 150 $7,149.75
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $50.17 150 $7,525.50 $7,538.07 +$375.75
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET $47.58 158 $7,517.64
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET $49.97 158 $7,895.26 $7,915.69 +$377.62
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $52.94 149 $7,888.06
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $46.50 149 $6,927.76 $6,955.38 $-960.31
(-12.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $43.16 161 $6,948.84
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $47.92 161 $7,715.12 $7,721.66 +$766.28
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $48.30 159 $7,679.70
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $46.81 159 $7,442.00 $7,483.96 $-237.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $48.67 153 $7,447.27
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $47.08 153 $7,203.24 $7,239.92 $-244.03
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $48.24 150 $7,236.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $51.13 150 $7,669.37 $7,673.29 +$433.36
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $48.69 157 $7,644.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.17 157 $8,033.69 $8,062.48 +$389.19
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $45.95 175 $8,041.25
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $44.38 175 $7,766.48 $7,787.71 $-274.77
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $43.56 178 $7,753.68
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET $45.79 178 $8,150.62 $8,184.65 +$396.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $45.65 179 $8,172.24
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $44.18 179 $7,908.22 $7,920.63 $-264.02
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $43.35 182 $7,889.70
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $45.56 182 $8,291.92 $8,322.85 +$402.22
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $45.07 184 $8,292.88
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $43.58 184 $8,018.70 $8,048.67 $-274.18
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $47.07 170 $8,001.90
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $45.65 170 $7,760.98 $7,807.75 $-240.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $47.60 164 $7,807.22
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $46.07 164 $7,555.46 $7,555.99 $-251.76
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $43.81 172 $7,534.46
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $46.06 172 $7,923.18 $7,944.71 +$388.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $43.76 181 $7,921.46
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $46.10 181 $8,344.10 $8,367.34 +$422.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $45.89 182 $8,351.98
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $44.51 182 $8,100.80 $8,116.16 $-251.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $43.26 187 $8,089.62
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $41.96 187 $7,846.52 $7,873.06 $-243.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.96 164 $7,865.83
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $46.28 164 $7,589.10 $7,596.33 $-276.73
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $50.91 149 $7,585.59
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.14 149 $8,215.86 $8,226.60 +$630.27
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $60.30 136 $8,200.60
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $64.26 136 $8,739.36 $8,765.36 +$538.76
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $63.39 138 $8,747.82
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $66.63 138 $9,194.94 $9,212.48 +$447.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $68.82 133 $9,153.06
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $66.71 133 $8,871.77 $8,931.19 $-281.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $66.38 134 $8,895.04
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 134 $10,997.38 $11,033.53 +$2,102.34
(+23.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET $83.99 131 $11,002.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 131 $10,672.57 $10,703.42 $-330.11
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $92.54 115 $10,642.67
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $98.28 115 $11,302.21 $11,362.96 +$659.54
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
32 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $97.83 116 $11,347.98
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $103.47 116 $12,002.52 $12,017.50 +$654.54
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,017.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,017.50
Total Return: +20.18%
Back to Marcus Reversal