LCID Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
-34.21%
Year to Date Return
$11,333.43
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$17,225.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
15.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 15.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-14.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,521
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$17,225.44
Current Value
$11,333.43
Period P&L
$-5,891.98
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
10 /
27
Best Trade
+6.38%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
-1.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,033,100.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,891.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,891.98
Gross Return
-34.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-34.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,225.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $10.93 | 1,575 | $17,214.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.49 | 1,575 | $18,096.75 | $18,107.41 |
+$882.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.69 | 1,548 | $18,095.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.28 | 1,548 | $17,461.44 | $17,472.89 |
$-634.53 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.32 | 1,544 | $17,470.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.96 | 1,544 | $16,914.52 | $16,917.05 |
$-555.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $10.85 | 1,559 | $16,907.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.47 | 1,559 | $16,314.94 | $16,324.63 |
$-592.42 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 1,690 | $16,316.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.22 | 1,690 | $17,271.80 | $17,279.48 |
+$954.85 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $11.89 | 1,453 | $17,268.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $11.51 | 1,453 | $16,716.77 | $16,727.34 |
$-552.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $10.99 | 1,522 | $16,726.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $10.65 | 1,522 | $16,201.69 | $16,202.25 |
$-525.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.36 | 1,426 | $16,199.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $10.94 | 1,426 | $15,600.44 | $15,603.33 |
$-598.92 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $11.00 | 1,419 | $15,601.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.65 | 1,419 | $15,112.49 | $15,113.91 |
$-489.41 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.22 | 1,478 | $15,104.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.90 | 1,478 | $14,639.59 | $14,648.64 |
$-465.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.04 | 1,326 | $14,639.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.11 | 1,326 | $14,736.37 | $14,745.97 |
+$97.33 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.81 | 1,364 | $14,744.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.43 | 1,364 | $14,219.70 | $14,220.83 |
$-525.14 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.28 | 1,383 | $14,217.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.95 | 1,383 | $13,760.85 | $13,764.44 |
$-456.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.99 | 1,377 | $13,756.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.68 | 1,377 | $13,329.36 | $13,337.57 |
$-426.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.72 | 1,372 | $13,334.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.41 | 1,372 | $12,917.38 | $12,920.48 |
$-417.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $9.49 | 1,360 | $12,913.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.08 | 1,360 | $13,708.80 | $13,716.08 |
+$795.60 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $10.20 | 1,344 | $13,715.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.89 | 1,344 | $13,295.25 | $13,295.81 |
$-420.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.11 | 1,315 | $13,294.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.78 | 1,315 | $12,867.27 | $12,868.44 |
$-427.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.55 | 1,347 | $12,863.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $10.05 | 1,347 | $13,530.62 | $13,535.20 |
+$666.76 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $10.65 | 1,271 | $13,529.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.30 | 1,271 | $13,091.30 | $13,096.70 |
$-438.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.14 | 1,291 | $13,090.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.81 | 1,291 | $12,664.58 | $12,670.54 |
$-426.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.85 | 1,287 | $12,670.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $10.36 | 1,287 | $13,336.54 | $13,336.56 |
+$666.02 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $10.10 | 1,319 | $13,328.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.75 | 1,319 | $14,179.25 | $14,187.32 |
+$850.76 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.35 | 1,370 | $14,179.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $9.98 | 1,370 | $13,672.60 | $13,680.42 |
$-506.90 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.61 | 1,423 | $13,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.31 | 1,423 | $13,255.24 | $13,257.36 |
$-423.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.58 | 1,383 | $13,249.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.29 | 1,383 | $12,848.07 | $12,856.29 |
$-401.07 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.73 | 1,472 | $12,850.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 1,472 | $13,597.90 | $13,603.63 |
+$747.34 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.74 | 1,556 | $13,599.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.45 | 1,556 | $13,151.31 | $13,155.50 |
$-448.13 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $8.78 | 1,497 | $13,151.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.52 | 1,497 | $12,746.96 | $12,751.31 |
$-404.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.98 | 1,597 | $12,744.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $7.71 | 1,597 | $12,312.87 | $12,319.96 |
$-431.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $7.68 | 1,604 | $12,318.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $7.40 | 1,604 | $11,869.76 | $11,871.00 |
$-448.96 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.87 | 1,727 | $11,864.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,727 | $12,494.85 | $12,501.36 |
+$630.36 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,802 | $12,496.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,802 | $12,000.78 | $12,005.27 |
$-496.09 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $6.33 | 1,896 | $12,001.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.07 | 1,896 | $11,507.20 | $11,510.98 |
$-494.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.95 | 1,933 | $11,506.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $5.76 | 1,933 | $11,134.08 | $11,138.88 |
$-372.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $6.07 | 1,833 | $11,135.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.39 | 1,833 | $11,712.69 | $11,716.09 |
+$577.21 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $6.59 | 1,779 | $11,714.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.37 | 1,779 | $11,332.05 | $11,333.43 |
$-382.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,333.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,333.43
Total Return:
+13.33%