Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.1/35
Total Return
19.2/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 54.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.3

30-Day Momentum

77
+32.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
3.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.3 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,510.21
Current Value
$30,134.98
Period P&L
$11,624.81
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
16 / 11
Best Trade
+9.19%
Worst Trade
-3.87%
Avg Trade Return
+2.00%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,212,570.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,624.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,624.81
Gross Return
+62.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+62.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $18,510.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET $194.13 93 $18,054.09
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $204.09 93 $18,980.37 $19,090.51 +$926.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $193.34 98 $18,946.83
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $203.02 98 $19,895.96 $20,039.64 +$949.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $186.50 107 $19,955.76
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $180.79 107 $19,344.00 $19,427.88 $-611.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET $173.69 111 $19,279.04
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $187.32 111 $20,792.52 $20,941.37 +$1,513.49
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $211.79 98 $20,755.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $203.60 98 $19,952.80 $20,138.75 $-802.62
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.20 111 $20,002.20
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $173.83 111 $19,295.13 $19,431.68 $-707.07
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $167.51 115 $19,264.22
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $162.10 115 $18,641.50 $18,808.95 $-622.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $172.96 108 $18,679.68
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.16 108 $18,809.82 $18,939.09 +$130.14
(+0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.39 104 $18,760.56
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 104 $20,484.88 $20,663.41 +$1,724.32
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $190.49 108 $20,572.92
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $184.60 108 $19,936.80 $20,027.29 $-636.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $187.55 106 $19,879.78
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $181.24 106 $19,211.97 $19,359.48 $-667.81
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $160.15 120 $19,218.60
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $168.47 120 $20,216.40 $20,357.28 +$997.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $171.70 118 $20,260.60
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $180.53 118 $21,302.54 $21,399.22 +$1,041.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $185.67 115 $21,352.05
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $195.04 115 $22,429.60 $22,476.77 +$1,077.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $200.68 112 $22,476.72
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $212.68 112 $23,820.72 $23,820.77 +$1,344.00
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $210.57 113 $23,794.41
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.46 113 $25,024.98 $25,051.34 +$1,230.57
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.21 113 $24,996.17
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $214.46 113 $24,233.98 $24,289.16 $-762.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $213.75 113 $24,153.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $207.10 113 $23,402.30 $23,537.71 $-751.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $199.85 117 $23,382.45
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $193.68 117 $22,660.56 $22,815.82 $-721.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $207.71 109 $22,640.93
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 109 $24,355.51 $24,530.39 +$1,714.57
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 119 $24,418.80
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $198.71 119 $23,646.49 $23,758.08 $-772.31
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $168.26 141 $23,725.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $177.27 141 $24,995.07 $25,027.79 +$1,269.71
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $179.40 139 $24,936.60
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $188.69 139 $26,227.91 $26,319.10 +$1,291.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $198.40 132 $26,188.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $208.72 132 $27,550.71 $27,681.01 +$1,361.91
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 138 $27,657.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 138 $29,098.68 $29,121.73 +$1,440.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $208.68 139 $29,006.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $201.71 139 $28,037.69 $28,152.90 $-968.83
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $216.59 129 $27,939.47
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $231.95 129 $29,921.55 $30,134.98 +$1,982.08
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,134.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,134.98
Total Return: +201.35%
Back to Marcus Reversal