SLV Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+57.41%
Year to Date Return
$31,261.68
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$19,859.49
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
34.5/35
Total Return
19.4/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
69.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 68.8
30-Day Momentum
2
-11.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,941
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$19,859.49
Current Value
$31,261.68
Period P&L
$11,402.21
Max Drawdown
-21.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
21 /
18
Best Trade
+8.94%
Worst Trade
-8.88%
Avg Trade Return
+1.35%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,344,136.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,402.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,402.21
Gross Return
+57.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+57.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,859.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:45pm ET | $64.04 | 304 | $19,468.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.16 | 304 | $21,024.64 | $21,057.45 |
+$1,556.48 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $72.83 | 289 | $21,046.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 289 | $20,251.24 | $20,262.27 |
$-795.18 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.43 | 300 | $20,229.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.31 | 300 | $21,393.00 | $21,425.67 |
+$1,163.40 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $76.94 | 278 | $21,389.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.77 | 278 | $23,010.06 | $23,046.41 |
+$1,620.74 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.37 | 283 | $23,027.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.55 | 283 | $24,209.24 | $24,227.93 |
+$1,181.53 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $82.48 | 293 | $24,166.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $86.75 | 293 | $25,416.29 | $25,477.58 |
+$1,249.65 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $100.67 | 253 | $25,469.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $97.57 | 253 | $24,685.21 | $24,693.28 |
$-784.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $102.55 | 240 | $24,612.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.83 | 240 | $26,119.20 | $26,200.31 |
+$1,507.03 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.28 | 287 | $26,197.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $88.54 | 287 | $25,409.55 | $25,412.49 |
$-787.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $72.00 | 352 | $25,344.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $69.46 | 352 | $24,449.92 | $24,518.38 |
$-894.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:00pm ET | $78.27 | 313 | $24,498.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $75.86 | 313 | $23,744.18 | $23,764.05 |
$-754.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.38 | 352 | $23,717.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.40 | 352 | $25,838.56 | $25,884.81 |
+$2,120.77 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.22 | 385 | $25,879.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.64 | 385 | $27,196.17 | $27,201.28 |
+$1,316.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $70.71 | 384 | $27,152.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $74.53 | 384 | $28,619.52 | $28,668.16 |
+$1,466.88 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $79.07 | 362 | $28,621.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.13 | 362 | $30,093.06 | $30,139.69 |
+$1,471.53 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.32 | 370 | $30,088.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $78.86 | 370 | $29,178.20 | $29,229.49 |
$-910.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $74.69 | 391 | $29,205.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.67 | 391 | $31,542.01 | $31,565.75 |
+$2,336.26 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.92 | 405 | $31,557.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $75.53 | 405 | $30,589.69 | $30,597.84 |
$-967.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $73.04 | 418 | $30,530.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.52 | 418 | $29,059.36 | $29,126.48 |
$-1,471.36 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.88 | 470 | $29,085.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $65.13 | 470 | $30,611.10 | $30,651.63 |
+$1,525.15 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $61.72 | 496 | $30,613.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.14 | 496 | $32,805.44 | $32,843.95 |
+$2,192.32 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 529 | $32,819.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 529 | $34,866.39 | $34,890.65 |
+$2,046.70 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $67.71 | 515 | $34,870.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.62 | 515 | $32,765.85 | $32,785.85 |
$-2,104.80 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.36 | 501 | $32,742.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.81 | 501 | $34,974.81 | $35,017.80 |
+$2,231.95 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $68.50 | 511 | $35,000.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $71.94 | 511 | $36,763.89 | $36,780.75 |
+$1,762.95 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $71.61 | 513 | $36,735.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $69.25 | 513 | $35,525.25 | $35,570.07 |
$-1,210.68 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $70.35 | 505 | $35,524.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $68.04 | 505 | $34,360.25 | $34,406.09 |
$-1,163.98 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $68.93 | 499 | $34,393.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 499 | $32,774.32 | $32,786.44 |
$-1,619.65 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.85 | 505 | $32,749.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $68.24 | 505 | $34,461.25 | $34,498.44 |
+$1,712.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.83 | 516 | $34,484.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $70.23 | 516 | $36,238.58 | $36,252.73 |
+$1,754.29 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.41 | 493 | $36,191.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.14 | 493 | $38,030.02 | $38,091.62 |
+$1,838.89 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.61 | 497 | $38,077.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $80.49 | 497 | $40,003.53 | $40,017.50 |
+$1,925.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $76.51 | 523 | $40,014.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.71 | 523 | $36,460.42 | $36,463.09 |
$-3,554.41 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $69.08 | 527 | $36,405.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.54 | 527 | $35,066.58 | $35,124.51 |
$-1,338.58 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $68.42 | 513 | $35,099.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $66.25 | 513 | $33,988.81 | $34,013.35 |
$-1,111.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $68.05 | 499 | $33,956.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.10 | 499 | $31,985.90 | $32,042.30 |
$-1,971.05 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $61.62 | 519 | $31,980.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $59.32 | 519 | $30,785.73 | $30,847.25 |
$-1,195.05 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $58.62 | 526 | $30,834.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $61.63 | 526 | $32,414.75 | $32,427.88 |
+$1,580.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $63.16 | 513 | $32,402.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.89 | 513 | $31,236.57 | $31,261.68 |
$-1,166.20 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$31,261.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$21,261.68
Total Return:
+212.62%