SNOW Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
-24.04%
Year to Date Return
$13,396.91
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$17,636.12
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
22.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 22.8
30-Day Momentum
7
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,637
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$17,636.12
Current Value
$13,396.91
Period P&L
$-4,239.18
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
9 /
21
Best Trade
+6.31%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$967,110.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,239.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,239.18
Gross Return
-24.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,636.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET | $216.34 | 80 | $17,307.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $227.25 | 80 | $18,180.00 | $18,274.49 |
+$872.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $234.10 | 78 | $18,259.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $225.86 | 78 | $17,617.08 | $17,631.77 |
$-642.72 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $219.01 | 80 | $17,520.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $212.25 | 80 | $16,980.00 | $17,091.37 |
$-540.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $205.64 | 83 | $17,068.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $216.03 | 83 | $17,930.49 | $17,953.74 |
+$862.37 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $206.53 | 86 | $17,761.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.57 | 86 | $18,883.02 | $19,075.18 |
+$1,121.44 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.48 | 94 | $18,939.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $195.24 | 94 | $18,352.56 | $18,488.39 |
$-586.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $191.69 | 96 | $18,402.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.96 | 96 | $17,756.16 | $17,842.31 |
$-646.08 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $165.13 | 108 | $17,834.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $160.05 | 108 | $17,285.94 | $17,294.21 |
$-548.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $160.64 | 107 | $17,188.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $169.89 | 107 | $18,178.23 | $18,283.96 |
+$989.75 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.68 | 102 | $18,123.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.04 | 102 | $17,548.08 | $17,708.17 |
$-575.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET | $178.05 | 99 | $17,626.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $172.57 | 99 | $17,084.43 | $17,165.65 |
$-542.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $160.76 | 106 | $17,040.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $169.00 | 106 | $17,914.00 | $18,039.09 |
+$873.44 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $167.31 | 107 | $17,902.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $162.20 | 107 | $17,355.40 | $17,492.32 |
$-546.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $165.90 | 105 | $17,419.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $174.55 | 105 | $18,327.24 | $18,400.06 |
+$907.74 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $180.70 | 101 | $18,250.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $175.14 | 101 | $17,688.79 | $17,838.15 |
$-561.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $178.28 | 100 | $17,828.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $171.28 | 100 | $17,128.00 | $17,138.14 |
$-700.01 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $171.98 | 99 | $17,026.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.73 | 99 | $16,505.78 | $16,617.90 |
$-520.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $160.40 | 103 | $16,521.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $155.52 | 103 | $16,018.06 | $16,114.76 |
$-503.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $156.78 | 102 | $15,991.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.86 | 102 | $14,877.72 | $15,000.92 |
$-1,113.84 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $154.18 | 97 | $14,955.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.01 | 97 | $14,453.97 | $14,499.43 |
$-501.49 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.51 | 96 | $14,449.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.88 | 96 | $14,004.48 | $14,054.47 |
$-444.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $153.27 | 91 | $13,947.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $145.38 | 91 | $13,229.58 | $13,336.48 |
$-717.99 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.74 | 103 | $13,259.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.86 | 103 | $12,860.58 | $12,937.36 |
$-399.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $131.52 | 98 | $12,888.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.01 | 98 | $13,623.47 | $13,671.87 |
+$734.51 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $145.44 | 94 | $13,671.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.13 | 94 | $14,394.69 | $14,395.20 |
+$723.33 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.93 | 97 | $14,252.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $142.52 | 97 | $13,824.44 | $13,967.43 |
$-427.77 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $144.66 | 96 | $13,887.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.11 | 96 | $13,450.56 | $13,530.63 |
$-436.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.16 | 97 | $13,498.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $134.49 | 97 | $13,045.53 | $13,077.64 |
$-452.99 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $139.51 | 93 | $12,973.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $147.47 | 93 | $13,714.71 | $13,818.38 |
+$740.74 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $141.87 | 97 | $13,761.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.52 | 97 | $13,339.92 | $13,396.91 |
$-421.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,396.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,396.91
Total Return:
+33.97%