Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:13:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 25.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

28
+9.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.1 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,381
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$19,928.78
Current Value
$14,040.70
Period P&L
$-5,888.06
Max Drawdown
-35.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+10.21%
Worst Trade
-12.04%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$882,395.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,888.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,888.06
Gross Return
-29.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,928.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $29.25 681 $19,919.25
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $28.24 681 $19,230.76 $19,240.25 $-688.49
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET $26.57 724 $19,236.61
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $27.93 724 $20,217.70 $20,221.34 +$981.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $27.84 726 $20,211.84
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $26.78 726 $19,442.28 $19,451.78 $-769.56
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $26.52 733 $19,435.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $25.70 733 $18,834.44 $18,850.72 $-601.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $25.58 736 $18,826.88
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $24.75 736 $18,216.00 $18,239.84 $-610.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET $23.32 782 $18,232.33
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.58 782 $17,661.31 $17,668.83 $-571.02
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $22.21 795 $17,656.95
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $21.51 795 $17,099.89 $17,111.77 $-557.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $20.27 843 $17,091.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $19.62 843 $16,540.25 $16,560.20 $-551.57
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $20.87 793 $16,549.91
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $21.25 793 $16,855.21 $16,865.50 +$305.30
(+1.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $19.27 875 $16,861.25
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $18.64 875 $16,306.32 $16,310.57 $-554.93
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET $18.30 891 $16,300.85
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $19.22 891 $17,120.57 $17,130.29 +$819.72
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $19.15 894 $17,120.10
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.12 894 $16,201.07 $16,211.26 $-919.03
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $18.07 897 $16,204.31
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $18.97 897 $17,014.83 $17,021.79 +$810.53
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $18.73 908 $17,006.75
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $17.93 908 $16,280.44 $16,295.48 $-726.31
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $18.07 901 $16,281.07
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.51 901 $15,775.70 $15,790.11 $-505.37
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.24 915 $15,774.51
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $16.67 915 $15,248.57 $15,264.17 $-525.94
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $17.23 886 $15,261.35
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $16.70 886 $14,800.63 $14,803.45 $-460.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $17.16 862 $14,791.92
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $16.62 862 $14,326.44 $14,337.97 $-465.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $16.88 849 $14,326.88
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.25 849 $13,796.25 $13,807.35 $-530.63
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $15.68 880 $13,798.40
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.19 880 $13,371.60 $13,380.55 $-426.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $15.81 846 $13,371.03
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $15.18 846 $12,842.28 $12,851.80 $-528.75
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $16.07 799 $12,835.94
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 799 $14,146.29 $14,162.16 +$1,310.36
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:30am ET $15.97 886 $14,149.42
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $16.77 886 $14,858.22 $14,870.96 +$708.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $17.68 840 $14,855.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $18.58 840 $15,611.40 $15,626.96 +$756.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.05 820 $15,620.92
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $20.09 820 $16,477.90 $16,483.94 +$856.98
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $19.23 857 $16,477.28
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $18.61 857 $15,953.05 $15,959.71 $-524.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET $18.74 851 $15,943.49
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $16.48 851 $14,024.48 $14,040.70 $-1,919.01
(-12.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,040.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,040.70
Total Return: +40.41%
Back to Marcus Reversal