SQQQ Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
-13.17%
Year to Date Return
$4,618.70
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$5,319.39
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality
3.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.1
30-Day Momentum
6
-30.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,490
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$5,319.39
Current Value
$4,618.70
Period P&L
$-700.72
Max Drawdown
-66.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
11 /
19
Best Trade
+6.96%
Worst Trade
-12.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$333,498.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-700.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-700.72
Gross Return
-13.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,319.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.37 | 78 | $5,254.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $65.27 | 78 | $5,091.05 | $5,155.60 |
$-163.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $66.65 | 77 | $5,132.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $64.55 | 77 | $4,970.35 | $4,993.90 |
$-161.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $64.28 | 77 | $4,949.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.03 | 77 | $5,238.31 | $5,282.73 |
+$288.83 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.67 | 81 | $5,238.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.17 | 81 | $5,602.87 | $5,647.33 |
+$364.60 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $69.95 | 80 | $5,596.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $67.68 | 80 | $5,414.40 | $5,465.67 |
$-181.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $65.57 | 83 | $5,441.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $63.54 | 83 | $5,273.82 | $5,297.60 |
$-168.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $65.71 | 80 | $5,256.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $69.11 | 80 | $5,528.76 | $5,569.67 |
+$272.07 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $71.33 | 78 | $5,563.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $75.32 | 78 | $5,874.73 | $5,880.80 |
+$311.13 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $71.38 | 82 | $5,853.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $69.20 | 82 | $5,674.40 | $5,702.04 |
$-178.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $73.00 | 78 | $5,693.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $70.67 | 78 | $5,512.26 | $5,520.69 |
$-181.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:25pm ET | $72.34 | 76 | $5,498.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $70.01 | 76 | $5,321.14 | $5,343.73 |
$-176.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $72.83 | 73 | $5,316.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $70.60 | 73 | $5,153.80 | $5,180.94 |
$-162.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $68.15 | 76 | $5,179.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $71.59 | 76 | $5,440.84 | $5,442.38 |
+$261.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $71.03 | 76 | $5,398.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.71 | 76 | $5,677.96 | $5,722.27 |
+$279.89 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.30 | 80 | $5,704.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $69.16 | 80 | $5,532.80 | $5,551.07 |
$-171.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $71.49 | 77 | $5,504.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.15 | 77 | $5,786.55 | $5,832.89 |
+$281.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.31 | 82 | $5,765.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $73.85 | 82 | $6,055.68 | $6,123.15 |
+$290.26 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $75.27 | 81 | $6,096.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.01 | 81 | $5,913.81 | $5,940.09 |
$-183.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $71.31 | 83 | $5,918.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $74.93 | 83 | $6,219.19 | $6,240.97 |
+$300.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.60 | 81 | $6,204.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.47 | 81 | $6,518.07 | $6,554.44 |
+$313.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.44 | 76 | $6,493.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $89.80 | 76 | $6,824.80 | $6,885.80 |
+$331.36 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $80.98 | 85 | $6,883.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.06 | 85 | $6,634.99 | $6,637.49 |
$-248.31 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $77.63 | 85 | $6,598.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.99 | 85 | $5,779.15 | $5,818.09 |
$-819.40 (-12.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $69.29 | 83 | $5,751.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.17 | 83 | $5,575.33 | $5,642.35 |
$-175.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $67.40 | 83 | $5,594.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.35 | 83 | $5,341.05 | $5,389.19 |
$-253.16 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 87 | $5,375.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $59.88 | 87 | $5,209.55 | $5,223.01 |
$-166.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $58.90 | 88 | $5,183.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $57.11 | 88 | $5,025.67 | $5,065.47 |
$-157.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.44 | 89 | $5,022.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.74 | 89 | $4,871.42 | $4,914.17 |
$-151.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.70 | 91 | $4,887.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $52.08 | 91 | $4,739.29 | $4,766.35 |
$-147.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.94 | 95 | $4,744.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $48.39 | 95 | $4,596.66 | $4,618.70 |
$-147.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,618.70
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,381.30
Total Return:
-53.81%