Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:55:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+3.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.2 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,734
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,659.76
Current Value
$9,965.56
Period P&L
$305.82
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-4.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$252,319.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$305.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$305.82
Gross Return
+3.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,659.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $219.36 44 $9,651.84
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $219.90 44 $9,675.40 $9,683.29 +$23.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $217.54 44 $9,571.54
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $219.09 44 $9,639.96 $9,751.71 +$68.42
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $244.32 39 $9,528.48
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $244.18 39 $9,523.02 $9,746.25 $-5.46
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $255.34 38 $9,702.73
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $254.15 38 $9,657.70 $9,701.22 $-45.03
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $273.57 35 $9,574.78
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $274.30 35 $9,600.37 $9,726.82 +$25.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $273.34 35 $9,567.04
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $274.26 35 $9,599.10 $9,758.88 +$32.06
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $282.42 34 $9,602.28
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 34 $9,903.18 $10,059.78 +$300.90
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $305.58 32 $9,778.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $305.40 32 $9,772.96 $10,054.18 $-5.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $338.27 29 $9,809.83
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET $335.64 29 $9,733.70 $9,978.06 $-76.13
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $322.96 30 $9,688.80
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $326.58 30 $9,797.40 $10,086.66 +$108.60
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $334.23 30 $10,027.05
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $339.93 30 $10,197.90 $10,257.51 +$170.85
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $355.94 28 $9,966.32
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $341.61 28 $9,565.02 $9,856.21 $-401.30
(-4.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $353.24 27 $9,537.48
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $357.29 27 $9,646.83 $9,965.56 +$109.35
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,965.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-34.44
Total Return: -0.34%
Back to Professor Mean