Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
7.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 23.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.4

30-Day Momentum

17
-1.9%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,737
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,827.19
Current Value
$10,626.34
Period P&L
$-200.84
Max Drawdown
-16.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+1.67%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,373.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-200.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-200.84
Gross Return
-1.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,827.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $68.69 157 $10,784.33
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $68.87 157 $10,812.59 $10,855.44 +$28.26
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $67.80 160 $10,848.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $68.45 160 $10,952.00 $10,959.44 +$104.00
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.38 157 $10,892.66
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $69.13 157 $10,853.41 $10,920.19 $-39.25
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $68.95 158 $10,894.10
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $69.04 158 $10,908.32 $10,934.41 +$14.22
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $74.57 146 $10,887.22
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $74.62 146 $10,894.52 $10,941.71 +$7.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $75.90 144 $10,929.60
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $77.17 144 $11,112.48 $11,124.59 +$182.88
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $79.30 140 $11,102.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $79.37 140 $11,111.80 $11,134.39 +$9.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $78.60 141 $11,082.60
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $78.63 141 $11,086.83 $11,138.62 +$4.23
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $78.49 141 $11,066.39
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $77.91 141 $10,985.31 $11,057.55 $-81.07
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $76.51 144 $11,018.16
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $75.09 144 $10,812.96 $10,852.35 $-205.20
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 146 $10,824.44
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:25am ET $73.41 146 $10,717.86 $10,745.77 $-106.58
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $76.87 139 $10,684.93
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $77.50 139 $10,772.50 $10,833.34 +$87.57
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.07 138 $10,772.97
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $76.57 138 $10,565.97 $10,626.34 $-207.00
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,626.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$626.34
Total Return: +6.26%
Back to Professor Mean