Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.6/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
9.9/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 55.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 54.9

30-Day Momentum

49
+2.7%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
14
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.7 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,889.71
Current Value
$13,233.61
Period P&L
$343.94
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+0.79%
Worst Trade
-0.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$354,516.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$343.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$343.94
Gross Return
+2.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,889.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $956.00 13 $12,428.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $963.59 13 $12,526.67 $12,988.34 +$98.67
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $1,006.16 12 $12,073.92
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:20am ET $1,013.40 12 $12,160.77 $13,075.19 +$86.85
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.03 13 $13,000.33
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $997.63 13 $12,969.13 $13,043.99 $-31.20
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $996.17 13 $12,950.21
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $1,000.49 13 $13,006.37 $13,100.15 +$56.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,058.92 12 $12,707.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,058.42 12 $12,701.04 $13,094.15 $-6.00
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,048.72 12 $12,584.70
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $1,051.73 12 $12,620.76 $13,130.21 +$36.06
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,060.75 12 $12,729.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,063.42 12 $12,761.04 $13,162.25 +$32.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,047.62 12 $12,571.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,054.01 12 $12,648.12 $13,238.93 +$76.68
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,059.03 12 $12,708.36
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,052.88 12 $12,634.56 $13,165.13 $-73.80
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,051.01 12 $12,612.12
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,052.26 12 $12,627.06 $13,180.07 +$14.94
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,050.81 12 $12,609.66
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,052.36 12 $12,628.28 $13,198.69 +$18.62
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $1,060.92 12 $12,731.04
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,060.60 12 $12,727.20 $13,194.85 $-3.84
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,065.25 12 $12,783.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,064.68 12 $12,776.16 $13,188.01 $-6.84
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $1,049.78 12 $12,597.36
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $1,053.58 12 $12,642.96 $13,233.61 +$45.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,233.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,233.61
Total Return: +32.34%
Back to Professor Mean