Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.8/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 41.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 40.9

30-Day Momentum

40
+2.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,110.92
Current Value
$12,368.27
Period P&L
$257.35
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+1.26%
Worst Trade
-0.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
9.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$293,809.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$257.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$257.35
Gross Return
+2.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,110.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $116.32 104 $12,097.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $116.65 104 $12,131.60 $12,145.23 +$34.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $116.45 104 $12,110.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $117.14 104 $12,182.56 $12,216.99 +$71.76
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $124.21 98 $12,172.58
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $124.74 98 $12,224.52 $12,268.93 +$51.94
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $129.72 94 $12,193.78
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $131.36 94 $12,347.84 $12,422.99 +$154.06
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $131.19 94 $12,331.86
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $130.24 94 $12,242.56 $12,333.69 $-89.30
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $132.60 93 $12,331.80
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $132.48 93 $12,320.18 $12,322.07 $-11.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $132.69 92 $12,207.48
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $132.90 92 $12,227.26 $12,341.85 +$19.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $129.95 94 $12,215.30
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.81 94 $12,202.14 $12,328.69 $-13.16
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $127.61 96 $12,250.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:15am ET $128.18 96 $12,305.28 $12,383.41 +$54.72
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $128.12 96 $12,299.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $128.46 96 $12,332.16 $12,416.05 +$32.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $126.86 97 $12,304.94
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $126.12 97 $12,233.64 $12,344.75 $-71.30
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $127.71 96 $12,260.16
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $127.96 96 $12,283.68 $12,368.27 +$23.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,368.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,368.27
Total Return: +23.68%
Back to Professor Mean