Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 13.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.4

30-Day Momentum

20
-7.2%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.3 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,898.49
Current Value
$8,242.31
Period P&L
$-656.21
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
9 / 2
Best Trade
+0.56%
Worst Trade
-8.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
15.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,461.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-656.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-656.21
Gross Return
-7.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,898.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.89 318 $8,867.43
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $27.99 318 $8,900.82 $8,914.42 +$33.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $27.56 323 $8,900.27
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $27.69 323 $8,945.48 $8,959.64 +$45.22
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $28.05 319 $8,947.95
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET $27.72 319 $8,841.09 $8,852.78 $-106.86
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $28.18 314 $8,848.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $28.19 314 $8,853.23 $8,857.46 +$4.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $29.64 298 $8,831.23
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $29.64 298 $8,831.23 $8,857.46 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $29.95 295 $8,836.72
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $30.00 295 $8,848.53 $8,869.26 +$11.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $29.25 303 $8,864.26
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $29.42 303 $8,914.26 $8,919.26 +$50.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 294 $8,905.26
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.76 294 $8,161.44 $8,175.44 $-743.82
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $27.60 296 $8,171.08
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.63 296 $8,177.00 $8,181.36 +$5.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $26.80 305 $8,172.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $26.94 305 $8,216.70 $8,225.59 +$44.23
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.99 304 $8,204.96
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $27.05 304 $8,221.68 $8,242.31 +$16.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,242.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,757.69
Total Return: -17.58%
Back to Professor Mean