Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 26.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-2.3%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,933.64
Current Value
$10,610.47
Period P&L
$-323.21
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+1.18%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$296,144.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-323.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-323.21
Gross Return
-2.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,933.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $198.49 55 $10,916.95
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $198.68 55 $10,927.67 $10,944.40 +$10.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 57 $10,907.81
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $188.88 57 $10,766.16 $10,802.75 $-141.65
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $194.45 55 $10,694.75
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $190.72 55 $10,489.60 $10,597.60 $-205.15
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $190.33 55 $10,468.15
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $191.07 55 $10,508.85 $10,638.30 +$40.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $185.15 57 $10,553.55
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $184.54 57 $10,518.78 $10,603.53 $-34.77
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $187.51 56 $10,500.84
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $187.92 56 $10,523.52 $10,626.21 +$22.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET $184.47 57 $10,514.79
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $184.17 57 $10,497.69 $10,609.11 $-17.10
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $186.74 56 $10,457.44
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $187.27 56 $10,487.40 $10,639.07 +$29.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $185.69 57 $10,584.33
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $184.33 57 $10,506.81 $10,561.55 $-77.52
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $188.34 56 $10,547.04
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $188.20 56 $10,539.20 $10,553.71 $-7.84
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $189.65 55 $10,430.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $191.89 55 $10,553.95 $10,677.18 +$123.47
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $191.40 55 $10,527.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:00am ET $192.20 55 $10,570.73 $10,720.91 +$43.73
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $191.67 55 $10,541.85
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $191.03 55 $10,506.65 $10,685.71 $-35.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $185.77 57 $10,588.89
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:20am ET $184.45 57 $10,513.65 $10,610.47 $-75.24
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,610.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$610.47
Total Return: +6.10%
Back to Professor Mean