Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 29.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

19
-4.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,244.11
Current Value
$11,768.45
Period P&L
$-475.65
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+1.04%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$304,936.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-475.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-475.65
Gross Return
-3.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,244.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $22.79 537 $12,238.23
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $22.92 537 $12,305.36 $12,311.23 +$67.13
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $23.70 519 $12,300.30
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $22.50 519 $11,680.09 $11,691.02 $-620.21
(-5.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $21.85 534 $11,670.57
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $21.90 534 $11,694.60 $11,715.05 +$24.03
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $22.49 520 $11,694.80
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $22.56 520 $11,728.60 $11,748.85 +$33.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $23.67 496 $11,742.80
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $23.79 496 $11,799.84 $11,805.89 +$57.04
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $23.53 501 $11,788.53
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $22.92 501 $11,485.42 $11,502.78 $-303.11
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $23.18 496 $11,497.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $23.06 496 $11,437.76 $11,443.26 $-59.52
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $22.38 511 $11,433.63
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $22.59 511 $11,543.49 $11,553.13 +$109.87
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $23.09 500 $11,545.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $23.33 500 $11,665.00 $11,673.13 +$120.00
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $23.29 501 $11,668.29
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:10am ET $23.36 501 $11,703.36 $11,708.20 +$35.07
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $22.92 510 $11,689.15
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $22.98 510 $11,717.25 $11,736.30 +$28.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.01 510 $11,735.10
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $22.98 510 $11,717.25 $11,718.45 $-17.85
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 500 $11,702.50
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $23.50 500 $11,752.50 $11,768.45 +$50.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,768.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,768.45
Total Return: +17.68%
Back to Professor Mean