Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 19.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

20
-0.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,347.56
Current Value
$10,298.31
Period P&L
$-49.23
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-2.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$305,847.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-49.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-49.23
Gross Return
-0.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,347.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $139.62 74 $10,331.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $139.72 74 $10,339.28 $10,354.94 +$7.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $138.07 74 $10,217.18
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.75 74 $10,267.50 $10,405.26 +$50.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $142.19 73 $10,379.87
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $140.61 73 $10,264.53 $10,289.92 $-115.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 74 $10,209.78
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $139.18 74 $10,298.95 $10,379.09 +$89.17
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $139.48 74 $10,321.15
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $138.87 74 $10,276.68 $10,334.62 $-44.47
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $138.62 74 $10,257.51
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $138.73 74 $10,265.65 $10,342.76 +$8.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $137.66 75 $10,324.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $138.07 75 $10,355.25 $10,373.51 +$30.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $135.84 76 $10,323.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $133.06 76 $10,112.56 $10,162.23 $-211.28
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $131.40 77 $10,118.18
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $131.91 77 $10,157.07 $10,201.12 +$38.89
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $133.66 76 $10,157.90
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $131.83 76 $10,019.08 $10,062.30 $-138.82
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.85 78 $10,050.30
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $128.67 78 $10,036.26 $10,048.26 $-14.04
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $129.01 77 $9,933.77
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $129.09 77 $9,939.93 $10,054.42 +$6.16
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $127.96 78 $9,980.88
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $129.93 78 $10,134.54 $10,208.08 +$153.66
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $130.04 78 $10,143.12
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $130.95 78 $10,214.10 $10,279.06 +$70.98
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $132.45 77 $10,198.27
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $132.70 77 $10,217.52 $10,298.31 +$19.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,298.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$298.31
Total Return: +2.98%
Back to Professor Mean