Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:26:28

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 21.2

30-Day Momentum

46
+3.0%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.9 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,071.77
Current Value
$10,414.84
Period P&L
$343.09
Max Drawdown
-5.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+1.94%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
12.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,696.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$343.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$343.09
Gross Return
+3.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,071.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $316.61 31 $9,814.91
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $317.26 31 $9,835.06 $10,091.90 +$20.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $318.26 31 $9,866.06
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $318.07 31 $9,860.17 $10,086.01 $-5.89
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $310.15 32 $9,924.96
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $312.37 32 $9,995.84 $10,156.89 +$70.88
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $309.43 32 $9,901.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $310.39 32 $9,932.48 $10,187.61 +$30.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $310.10 32 $9,923.20
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $311.18 32 $9,957.92 $10,222.33 +$34.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $320.76 31 $9,943.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $320.91 31 $9,948.21 $10,226.98 +$4.65
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET $328.13 31 $10,172.03
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $334.50 31 $10,369.50 $10,424.45 +$197.47
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $335.55 31 $10,401.90
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $331.95 31 $10,290.30 $10,312.85 $-111.60
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $327.94 31 $10,166.14
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $330.02 31 $10,230.62 $10,377.33 +$64.48
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $324.59 31 $10,062.29
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $325.80 31 $10,099.80 $10,414.84 +$37.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,414.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$414.84
Total Return: +4.15%
Back to Professor Mean