Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.2

30-Day Momentum

51
+2.2%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
13
Trades
8.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.5 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,738.23
Current Value
$10,010.39
Period P&L
$272.18
Max Drawdown
-5.1%
Sharpe Ratio
1.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
13 / 1
Best Trade
+0.61%
Worst Trade
-0.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
54m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$271,794.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$272.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$272.18
Gross Return
+2.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,738.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $324.38 30 $9,731.40
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $324.55 30 $9,736.50 $9,743.31 +$5.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $316.45 30 $9,493.55
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $317.02 30 $9,510.60 $9,760.36 +$17.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.64 29 $9,617.42
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET $332.97 29 $9,656.08 $9,799.02 +$38.66
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $336.36 29 $9,754.30
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.67 29 $9,763.43 $9,808.16 +$9.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $341.06 28 $9,549.61
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $341.73 28 $9,568.30 $9,826.85 +$18.69
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $345.15 28 $9,664.20
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $346.61 28 $9,705.08 $9,867.73 +$40.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $345.23 28 $9,666.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $344.52 28 $9,646.50 $9,847.79 $-19.94
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $338.04 29 $9,803.16
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.73 29 $9,823.17 $9,867.80 +$20.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $338.32 29 $9,811.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:15am ET $338.92 29 $9,828.66 $9,885.18 +$17.38
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $333.86 29 $9,681.94
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $334.16 29 $9,690.64 $9,893.88 +$8.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $327.44 30 $9,823.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $328.24 30 $9,847.35 $9,918.03 +$24.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $326.02 30 $9,780.60
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $326.85 30 $9,805.50 $9,942.93 +$24.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $324.14 30 $9,724.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $324.41 30 $9,732.30 $9,951.03 +$8.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $311.61 31 $9,659.76
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $313.52 31 $9,719.12 $10,010.39 +$59.36
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,010.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$10.39
Total Return: +0.10%
Back to Professor Mean