Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 31.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.7

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.8%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,146.13
Current Value
$11,060.98
Period P&L
$-85.15
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+0.82%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,330.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-85.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-85.15
Gross Return
-0.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,146.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $499.24 22 $10,983.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $501.63 22 $11,035.82 $11,198.67 +$52.54
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $509.48 21 $10,699.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $509.46 21 $10,698.66 $11,198.25 $-0.42
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $501.01 22 $11,022.22
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $497.74 22 $10,950.28 $11,126.31 $-71.94
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $511.98 21 $10,751.58
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $511.29 21 $10,737.09 $11,111.82 $-14.49
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $518.81 21 $10,894.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $519.47 21 $10,908.91 $11,125.78 +$13.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $523.32 21 $10,989.62
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $523.15 21 $10,986.15 $11,122.32 $-3.46
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $511.84 21 $10,748.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $512.17 21 $10,755.57 $11,129.25 +$6.93
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $504.57 22 $11,100.54
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $502.49 22 $11,054.89 $11,083.60 $-45.65
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $501.69 22 $11,037.18
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $505.82 22 $11,128.04 $11,174.46 +$90.86
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $513.77 21 $10,789.17
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $512.65 21 $10,765.65 $11,150.94 $-23.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $513.96 21 $10,793.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:45am ET $507.56 21 $10,658.76 $11,016.54 $-134.40
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $495.01 22 $10,890.22
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $495.01 22 $10,890.22 $11,016.54 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $500.37 22 $11,008.14
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $502.39 22 $11,052.58 $11,060.98 +$44.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,060.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,060.98
Total Return: +10.61%
Back to Professor Mean