Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:30:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 22.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 21.8

30-Day Momentum

14
-3.0%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,260.91
Current Value
$11,028.06
Period P&L
$-232.82
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.88%
Worst Trade
-3.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,197.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-232.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-232.82
Gross Return
-2.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,260.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $8.90 1,264 $11,255.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.90 1,264 $11,243.28 $11,248.24 $-12.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 1,192 $11,240.56
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $9.47 1,192 $11,288.36 $11,296.04 +$47.80
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $9.59 1,178 $11,291.13
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $9.77 1,178 $11,503.17 $11,508.08 +$212.04
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.74 980 $11,500.59
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $11.73 980 $11,490.50 $11,497.99 $-10.09
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $11.45 1,003 $11,489.36
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $11.55 1,003 $11,584.65 $11,593.28 +$95.29
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $11.82 980 $11,584.38
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.85 980 $11,617.90 $11,626.80 +$33.52
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $11.60 1,001 $11,616.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $11.53 1,001 $11,546.53 $11,556.73 $-70.07
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.17 1,034 $11,549.78
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 1,034 $11,136.18 $11,143.13 $-413.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 1,038 $11,132.55
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:25pm ET $10.36 1,038 $10,758.87 $10,769.45 $-373.68
(-3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.87 907 $10,766.18
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $11.99 907 $10,879.46 $10,882.73 +$113.28
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $11.56 941 $10,873.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $11.60 941 $10,910.90 $10,920.37 +$37.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.79 926 $10,914.95
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $11.90 926 $11,022.64 $11,028.06 +$107.69
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,028.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,028.06
Total Return: +10.28%
Back to Professor Mean