Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:28:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.7

30-Day Momentum

86
+16.1%
30d Return
91%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.5 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+58 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,268.80
Current Value
$13,193.51
Period P&L
$1,924.74
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
1.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
11 / 1
Best Trade
+6.17%
Worst Trade
-0.80%
Avg Trade Return
+1.77%
Avg Hold Time
9.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$282,684.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,924.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,924.74
Gross Return
+17.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,268.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $13.78 777 $10,705.97
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $14.26 777 $11,080.02 $11,082.29 +$374.05
(+3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $14.05 788 $11,071.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $14.25 788 $11,229.00 $11,239.89 +$157.60
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $13.86 810 $11,228.22
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $14.11 810 $11,433.15 $11,444.82 +$204.93
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $14.57 785 $11,439.02
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $14.90 785 $11,700.42 $11,706.23 +$261.41
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $13.96 838 $11,698.31
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $14.03 838 $11,761.33 $11,769.25 +$63.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 899 $11,758.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $12.98 899 $11,664.53 $11,675.04 $-94.21
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $13.03 896 $11,674.88
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $13.05 896 $11,692.80 $11,692.96 +$17.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $12.74 917 $11,687.16
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $13.11 917 $12,021.87 $12,027.66 +$334.70
(+2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $14.83 811 $12,027.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $14.91 811 $12,096.06 $12,096.60 +$68.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $14.34 843 $12,088.45
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:55am ET $14.60 843 $12,303.59 $12,311.73 +$215.13
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $13.87 887 $12,302.69
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $14.00 887 $12,418.00 $12,427.04 +$115.31
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $14.10 881 $12,417.70
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $14.97 881 $13,184.17 $13,193.51 +$766.47
(+6.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,193.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,193.51
Total Return: +31.94%
Back to Professor Mean