Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:33:31

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

22
+0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.1 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,741
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,261.45
Current Value
$9,354.36
Period P&L
$92.86
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+0.64%
Worst Trade
-0.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$258,561.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$92.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$92.86
Gross Return
+1.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,261.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $86.44 107 $9,249.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.29 107 $9,233.03 $9,245.45 $-16.05
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $87.82 105 $9,221.10
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $87.78 105 $9,216.38 $9,240.73 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $87.18 105 $9,154.42
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.24 105 $9,160.20 $9,246.51 +$5.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $88.38 104 $9,191.52
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $88.54 104 $9,207.64 $9,262.63 +$16.12
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.32 107 $9,236.24
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $86.42 107 $9,246.94 $9,273.33 +$10.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $86.62 107 $9,268.34
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $86.18 107 $9,221.79 $9,226.78 $-46.55
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $85.11 108 $9,191.88
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $85.27 108 $9,209.16 $9,244.06 +$17.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $82.93 111 $9,205.23
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $83.03 111 $9,216.33 $9,255.16 +$11.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $83.58 110 $9,193.80
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $83.66 110 $9,202.60 $9,263.96 +$8.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $83.08 111 $9,221.88
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $83.47 111 $9,265.17 $9,307.25 +$43.29
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $81.62 114 $9,304.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $81.61 114 $9,302.97 $9,305.54 $-1.71
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $80.32 115 $9,237.37
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $80.74 115 $9,285.10 $9,353.27 +$47.73
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $79.13 118 $9,337.34
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $78.64 118 $9,279.52 $9,295.45 $-57.82
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:45am ET $77.49 119 $9,221.31
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $77.99 119 $9,280.22 $9,354.36 +$58.91
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,354.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-645.64
Total Return: -6.46%
Back to Professor Mean