Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 37.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.6

30-Day Momentum

67
+6.2%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
14
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.6 Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,674.32
Current Value
$12,394.65
Period P&L
$720.29
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.92

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
12 / 2
Best Trade
+1.58%
Worst Trade
-0.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$334,853.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$720.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$720.29
Gross Return
+6.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,674.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $166.34 70 $11,643.45
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $166.60 70 $11,662.35 $11,693.26 +$18.90
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $167.21 69 $11,537.49
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $168.15 69 $11,602.35 $11,758.12 +$64.86
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $175.31 67 $11,745.77
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $176.19 67 $11,804.73 $11,817.08 +$58.96
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $176.74 66 $11,664.84
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $176.67 66 $11,660.22 $11,812.46 $-4.62
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $183.52 64 $11,745.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $184.13 64 $11,784.64 $11,851.50 +$39.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $191.16 61 $11,661.06
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.85 61 $11,702.85 $11,893.29 +$41.79
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.22 63 $11,794.86
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $190.17 63 $11,980.71 $12,079.14 +$185.85
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $188.46 64 $12,061.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $191.13 64 $12,232.32 $12,250.34 +$171.20
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $189.88 64 $12,152.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $190.10 64 $12,166.72 $12,264.42 +$14.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.13 64 $12,232.64
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $191.41 64 $12,250.56 $12,282.34 +$17.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $188.13 65 $12,228.77
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $188.87 65 $12,276.55 $12,330.12 +$47.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $189.85 64 $12,150.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $190.51 64 $12,192.32 $12,372.36 +$42.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $191.39 64 $12,248.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $191.18 64 $12,235.52 $12,359.23 $-13.13
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $187.69 65 $12,199.85
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $188.24 65 $12,235.28 $12,394.65 +$35.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,394.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,394.65
Total Return: +23.95%
Back to Professor Mean