Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:45:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.2

30-Day Momentum

30
+1.3%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.1 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,867.11
Current Value
$12,026.21
Period P&L
$159.07
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$311,847.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$159.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$159.07
Gross Return
+1.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,867.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $98.64 120 $11,836.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $98.90 120 $11,868.60 $11,898.93 +$31.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $98.87 120 $11,864.40
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $99.12 120 $11,894.41 $11,928.94 +$30.01
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $101.66 117 $11,894.22
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:20am ET $101.92 117 $11,924.06 $11,958.77 +$29.83
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $103.35 115 $11,885.24
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $103.45 115 $11,896.74 $11,970.27 +$11.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $106.71 112 $11,951.52
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $107.54 112 $12,044.48 $12,063.23 +$92.96
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $94.23 128 $12,061.44
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $94.07 128 $12,040.32 $12,042.11 $-21.12
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $93.09 129 $12,008.61
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $93.07 129 $12,006.67 $12,040.18 $-1.93
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $92.82 129 $11,974.42
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $92.45 129 $11,926.05 $11,991.81 $-48.38
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $91.85 130 $11,940.50
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $92.40 130 $12,011.74 $12,063.05 +$71.24
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:20am ET $90.52 133 $12,039.16
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $90.64 133 $12,054.46 $12,078.35 +$15.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.19 132 $12,037.08
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $92.57 132 $12,219.24 $12,260.51 +$182.16
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $93.55 131 $12,255.05
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $92.33 131 $12,095.23 $12,100.69 $-159.82
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $90.94 133 $12,095.68
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $90.39 133 $12,021.21 $12,026.21 $-74.48
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,026.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,026.21
Total Return: +20.26%
Back to Professor Mean