Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:26:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.4/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 53.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 52.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+6.1%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.4 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,452.85
Current Value
$15,894.65
Period P&L
$441.78
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+2.14%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$445,964.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$441.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$441.78
Gross Return
+2.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,452.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:10am ET $213.94 72 $15,403.68
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $213.88 72 $15,399.36 $15,448.55 $-4.32
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $211.48 73 $15,438.04
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $213.87 73 $15,612.15 $15,622.66 +$174.11
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $215.38 72 $15,507.72
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $216.34 72 $15,576.48 $15,691.42 +$68.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $222.65 70 $15,585.80
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $227.43 70 $15,919.75 $16,025.37 +$333.95
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $220.03 72 $15,842.15
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $219.48 72 $15,802.67 $15,985.89 $-39.48
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $212.95 75 $15,971.25
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:35am ET $213.96 75 $16,047.00 $16,061.64 +$75.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $209.38 76 $15,913.26
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $208.18 76 $15,821.68 $15,970.06 $-91.58
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $208.28 76 $15,829.28
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $210.85 76 $16,024.60 $16,165.38 +$195.32
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $203.71 79 $16,093.48
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $203.51 79 $16,077.29 $16,149.18 $-16.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $200.38 80 $16,030.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $203.26 80 $16,260.80 $16,379.18 +$230.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $204.48 80 $16,358.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $205.03 80 $16,402.20 $16,423.38 +$44.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $211.18 77 $16,260.48
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:05am ET $209.34 77 $16,118.80 $16,281.70 $-141.68
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $206.01 79 $16,274.79
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $207.40 79 $16,384.60 $16,391.51 +$109.81
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $208.37 78 $16,252.86
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $202.00 78 $15,756.00 $15,894.65 $-496.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,894.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,894.65
Total Return: +58.95%
Back to Professor Mean