Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.9/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 47.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,875.85
Current Value
$15,103.70
Period P&L
$227.83
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+1.40%
Worst Trade
-1.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,891.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$227.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$227.83
Gross Return
+1.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,875.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $176.35 84 $14,813.82
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $177.17 84 $14,882.27 $14,944.32 +$68.45
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $175.79 85 $14,942.57
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:25am ET $174.89 85 $14,865.65 $14,867.40 $-76.92
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $181.21 82 $14,859.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $181.78 82 $14,905.96 $14,914.14 +$46.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $188.04 79 $14,855.55
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $188.54 79 $14,894.72 $14,953.31 +$39.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $199.10 75 $14,932.13
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $197.00 75 $14,775.00 $14,796.18 $-157.13
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $199.80 74 $14,785.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $200.48 74 $14,835.53 $14,846.51 +$50.33
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $200.74 73 $14,654.02
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $200.15 73 $14,610.95 $14,803.44 $-43.07
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $200.09 73 $14,606.57
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $199.47 73 $14,561.31 $14,758.18 $-45.26
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $209.21 70 $14,644.70
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.01 70 $14,700.35 $14,813.83 +$55.65
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $209.93 70 $14,694.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $208.99 70 $14,629.30 $14,748.38 $-65.45
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $200.08 73 $14,606.06
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $201.55 73 $14,713.15 $14,855.47 +$107.09
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $195.86 75 $14,689.50
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $196.41 75 $14,731.12 $14,897.09 +$41.62
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $196.64 75 $14,747.64
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $199.39 75 $14,954.25 $15,103.70 +$206.61
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,103.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,103.70
Total Return: +51.04%
Back to Professor Mean