Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,692.55
Current Value
$8,700.86
Period P&L
$8.32
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+3.08%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$208,547.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$8.32
Gross Return
+0.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,692.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $62.87 138 $8,676.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $63.44 138 $8,755.41 $8,771.90 +$79.36
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 153 $8,721.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET $58.76 153 $8,989.52 $9,040.42 +$268.52
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $59.79 151 $9,028.29
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $58.65 151 $8,856.90 $8,869.03 $-171.39
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $57.97 152 $8,812.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $58.04 152 $8,822.08 $8,878.91 +$9.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.96 155 $8,828.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $55.36 155 $8,580.80 $8,630.91 $-248.00
(-2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $55.85 154 $8,600.13
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $56.32 154 $8,673.28 $8,704.06 +$73.15
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $53.07 164 $8,703.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET $52.60 164 $8,626.40 $8,626.98 $-77.08
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $54.67 157 $8,582.41
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $54.69 157 $8,586.33 $8,630.90 +$3.92
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 149 $8,586.87
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $57.10 149 $8,507.90 $8,551.93 $-78.97
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $58.53 146 $8,546.11
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $58.65 146 $8,562.90 $8,568.72 +$16.79
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.39 144 $8,552.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $59.93 144 $8,629.92 $8,646.48 +$77.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $59.53 145 $8,631.85
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $59.90 145 $8,686.22 $8,700.86 +$54.38
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,700.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,299.14
Total Return: -12.99%
Back to Professor Mean